babble home
rabble.ca - news for the rest of us
today's active topics


Post New Topic  Post A Reply
FAQ | Forum Home
  next oldest topic   next newest topic
» babble   » right brain babble   » culture   » Oscar predictions

Email this thread to someone!    
Author Topic: Oscar predictions
folker
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4731

posted 06 February 2005 03:05 AM      Profile for folker     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It's Oscar time again. Here are my predix:

BEST PIC: Million Dollar Baby
BEST DIRECTOR: Martin Scorsese, The Aviator
BEST ACTOR: Jamie Foxx, Ray
BEST ACTRESS: Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Virginia Madsen, Sideways
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Charlie Kaufman, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
BEST ADAPTER SCREENPLAY: Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor, Sideways


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
folker
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4731

posted 07 February 2005 05:38 PM      Profile for folker     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Bump.
From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
johnpauljones
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 7554

posted 07 February 2005 05:46 PM      Profile for johnpauljones     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The cynic in me would say that I think that folker works for the studio that made million dollar baby

Best actor as I see it is a tight three way race between Fox, Dicapprio and Don Cheadle from Hotel Rwanda.

I hope that Don Cheadle wins it. He was simply amazing in the movie


From: City of Toronto | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6718

posted 07 February 2005 05:56 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Isn't it clever how he registered a year ago so no one would suspect?
From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Charles
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 200

posted 07 February 2005 05:57 PM      Profile for Charles   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I would have said the same as folker down the like *except* I am feeling increasingly sure Clint Eastwood will get best Director (he's picking up most of the other awards in that category recently incl. the Golden Globe) and Best Picture could go to Million Dollar Baby, but Aviator, which left me cold and Sideways, the best movie of the year could both win just as easily. I make no prediction in that category, too close for the first time in ages. Interestingly, while I think this is how the categories will end up going I disagree with most of them. For example, Jamie Foxx has had Best Actor locked up tight for months, but there were three performances I preferred: Don Cheadle (brilliant), Johnny Depp (understanded, subtle and wonderful performance) and IMO, the best performance of the year, hands down yet inexplcably, unimaginably, not even NOMINATED, Paul Giamatti. So, I think that list will mostly pan out, there are more deserving winners in a lot of those categories...
From: Halifax, NS | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
kingblake
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3453

posted 07 February 2005 06:00 PM      Profile for kingblake     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I predict there'll be a lot of big-shot Hollywood-types patting themselves on the back... but i could be wrong.
From: In Regina, the land of Exotica | Registered: Dec 2002  |  IP: Logged
Scout
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1595

posted 07 February 2005 06:19 PM      Profile for Scout     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Johnny Depp will likely not win, they are saving his Oscar for Charlie and the Chocolate Factory.
From: Toronto, ON Canada | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
josh
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 2938

posted 07 February 2005 06:35 PM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Agree with Folker's picks, except that I think Kate Blanchet will win for best supporting actress. I loved Kate Winslet in Eternal Sunshine, but she doesn't appear to have a shot.
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
folker
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4731

posted 07 February 2005 07:29 PM      Profile for folker     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
johnpauljones, wish I WERE working for that studio--my financial situation would probably be much rosier if I were!:-)

I liked Million Dollar Baby, but I didn't love it--perhaps because I already knew what the plot twist was before I saw it. But I just think it's the kind of movie the Academy loves to honour--formulaic but well-executed, with a big heart and unabashedly liberal (if you've seen the movie, you'll know what I mean by "liberal"--it's currently being attacked by conservatives, and that's probably a good thing).

Best Actor I don't see as a close race at all. Jamie Foxx has this in the bag. He's even more of a sure thing than Charlize Theron was last year.

Best Actress is a little trickier. Will the Academy be ready to give Swank a second Oscar so soon after her first? I think they will, but only because she has no real competition--this was such a weak year for actresses. Watch out, though, for Imelda Staunton for Vera Drake--she could be the spoiler.

[ 07 February 2005: Message edited by: folker ]


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Willowdale Wizard
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3674

posted 28 February 2005 04:14 AM      Profile for Willowdale Wizard   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
folker was pretty close. all in favour of folker picking our lottery numbers next week ... all opposed ... motion carried.

pierce brosnan and edna mode: priceless.


From: england (hometown of toronto) | Registered: Jan 2003  |  IP: Logged
Surferosad
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4791

posted 28 February 2005 12:52 PM      Profile for Surferosad   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Worst Performance of a song in a foreign language: Beyoncée Knowles

She can't speak french for shit. Frankly, I was profoundly annoyed.


From: Montreal | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
ronb
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 2116

posted 28 February 2005 12:54 PM      Profile for ronb     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Unfortunately there is only one singer in America right now, so she had to sing all the songs.
From: gone | Registered: Jan 2002  |  IP: Logged
miss nomer
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6700

posted 28 February 2005 01:03 PM      Profile for miss nomer     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Could have been worse. Antonio Banderas could have sang more songs. Smarmy.

Overall, the Oscars were a snoozefest. The dresses were nice. But they have been for the last few years. I preferred when people came in hideous clothes. At least there was someting to talk about at the water cooler.

The opening monologue was weak. WMD jokes are so last year. I suppose those jokes are harder to laugh at this year. It's just not funny that Bush won the presidency again.

Just once, I would like someone to stand up and say they don't support the troops. If you support the troops, don't you support the war?

[ 28 February 2005: Message edited by: miss nomer ]


From: global village | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Section 49
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3186

posted 28 February 2005 02:44 PM      Profile for Section 49     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I Support the Occupation of Iraq, But I Don't Support Our Troops
From: Toronto | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
rasmus
malcontent
Babbler # 621

posted 28 February 2005 04:32 PM      Profile for rasmus   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I guessed all of them, except the best original screenplay and best supporting actress. It was obvious Scorcese wasn't going to win. He's trying too hard, and in the non-consensually SM Hollywood dynamic, that means he isn't going to get it. He'll probably get a lifetime achievement award at some point. Besides, Million Dollar Baby is a heartbreaking tear-jerker, and Hollywood is a sucker for that. In general, the awards like to recognize actors for temporarily transgressing their normalized marketable identities -- when skinny guys get fat or buff for a role, when women play guys, when straights play gays, or when someone plays someone disabled (blind, learning disabled, etc.). As long as they don't stay gay, fat, transgendered or whatever. Also, there's a profound amount of liberal guilt around race in Hollywood. So I factor those things in to the predictions.

The folks I watched the movie with all predicted that when Jamie Foxx won, the camera would pan to all the African Americans in the audience for a reaction. Which it did. This must be a directed decision. It's so transparent and quite racist. Also, when that Spanish film won, they closed in on Penelope Cruz, as though she had a special connection to it. It's not like when an English (British) or Jewish person wins they do close-ups of all the English or Jewish people in the audience.

Beyonce definitely provided the highest camp value of the evening.

What was with that singer with the Sideshow Bob 'do?

Johnny Depp looked like Cuthbert Calculus. I think he was going for sexy but instead achieved total neutering.

The best looking person on stage was Prince. No doubt.

The only funny line was when Chris Rock said, "now, if you're just tuning in, you may be thinking, dang, Whoopi looks good!"

And how about Barbara?

BTW, I don't normally watch the Oscars, but I was with friends who do. No, really.


From: Fortune favours the bold | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Sharon
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4090

posted 28 February 2005 04:51 PM      Profile for Sharon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
And how about Barbara?

Do you mean Barbra?


From: Halifax, Nova Scotia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
'lance
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1064

posted 28 February 2005 04:52 PM      Profile for 'lance     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Also, when that Spanish film won, they closed in on Penelope Cruz, as though she had a special connection to it.

It could have been sillier. They could have shown a close-up of Selma Hayek.


From: that enchanted place on the top of the Forest | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Boom Boom
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 7791

posted 28 February 2005 04:56 PM      Profile for Boom Boom     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Overall, last night's Oscar's was one of the worse I've seen to date. I liked Chris Rock's monologue, but it had little if any relevance to the Oscars. I couldn't believe how amateurish the production was. Boring as hell.
From: Make the rich pay! | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged
Contrarian
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6477

posted 28 February 2005 05:15 PM      Profile for Contrarian     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I tend to shuffle between the TV, the kitchen and my computer room; so I see a few highlights and miss a lot of the tedium; on the other hand, there weren't many highlights; but I liked the Johnny Carson tribute.
From: pretty far west | Registered: Jul 2004  |  IP: Logged
runner
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4876

posted 01 March 2005 12:27 PM      Profile for runner     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by rasmus raven:
What was with that singer with the Sideshow Bob 'do?



Adam Durvitz - Counting Crows, who incidentally sounded terrible

From: left behind by the folks | Registered: Jan 2004  |  IP: Logged
Surferosad
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 4791

posted 01 March 2005 12:37 PM      Profile for Surferosad   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by runner:

Adam Durvitz - Counting Crows, who incidentally sounded terrible

He always does. Horrible band.


From: Montreal | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged

All times are Pacific Time  

Post New Topic  Post A Reply Close Topic    Move Topic    Delete Topic next oldest topic   next newest topic
Hop To:

Contact Us | rabble.ca | Policy Statement

Copyright 2001-2008 rabble.ca