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» babble   » right brain babble   » humanities & science   » The Fate of (American) politics in my own words.

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Author Topic: The Fate of (American) politics in my own words.
The Libertarian
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posted 03 December 2002 05:08 PM      Profile for The Libertarian        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
In the US we have had the same two major parties for nearly 140 years. This may all be drawing to a close. After World War II we saw the emergence of a modern Left Wing in the Democrat (excepting "Dixie"crats) party and a Lukewarm Imperialist fiscally conservative party (which has recently been infiltrated by a harsh moral conservativism), the Republicans.
The US has Minor parties; Libertarian, Natural Law, Green, etc. but they are of little import to the major political power plays of today. They serve the same purpose they always have; moderate the two political wings, and play the role of special interest politico/social needs.

It is the two amjor parties who are of special import today. Over the past 60 years the Democrats have held the US in their grip only occasionally relenting to a Liberal voting or Fence Riding President ( Nixon and Eisenhower, Respectively). Recently the US has seen a trend away from massive governemnt social spending and more towards classical libralism goals and fiscal conservativism (conservancy?)
Reagan won in '80 promising tax cuts and a more efficient government, Bush 41 rode his coat-tails. In 1994, Despite having an enormously popular president, the Republicans took the Congress by storm instituting their "Contract with America". In both elections ( 1992 and 1996)Clinton won with either a plurality or a slim majority, both times due to the rise of a second conservative party, thus indicating that America was growing more conservative, not less.

In 2000 America saw to it that a Conservative Republican was elected, despite the Democrat attempt to steal the election. ( I don't mention thrid parties that might have influenced this election because both sides had them in significant numbers). In 1992, this past November 5th America put the two parties to a vote...and the Republicans won...everything
Conservative representatives of the people are now the norm. The Federal Congress (both houses) are Republican, The Executive is Republican, the judiciary was largely appointed by Republican Presidents. Most state Governorships are Republican, most state congresses are Republican.

This overwhelming success of the right-wing ideology has led to House Minority Speaker Gehpardt (D) of Missouri ( my home state) to step down. In his place Nancy Pelosi (D), of California was elected, over the moderate Democrat Harold Ford (Tenn). Why was a left wing Radical ( http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=29612 ) chosen over a moderate? Doesnt the Democrat party see the writing on the wall? most of American seems to be conservative leaning moderates. Why would they elect a person who might radicalize the party and alienate moderate voters?
i do not have the answer, but i do have a prediction. The Democrat party, unbeknownst to its members, has just signed its death warrant. As the party radicalizes under the leadership of Rep. Pelosi Democrats will lose the moderate base and chase out moderate Democrats such as Ford and his ilk. Within ten years, if the Democrats dont turn it around by Election Time in 2004 we will be seeing the death throws of the Late Great Democrat party.
Do i predict the elimination of Liberal politics in America ( the nation with two "conservative " parties according to our socialist pals across the lake)? No i do not. I see the Democrat part splitting into 3 seperate parties; The Greens, the Social Democrats and the Remnants of the moderate Democrat party die-hards.
This radicalizationof the Left will push moderate democrats in increasing numbers into the Republican party thus moderating its voice. This moderation of Classical liberal ideals and the Moral Right will lead to a strengthed Christian Coalition type party and a Libertarian, Free market party.

I believe that what we are seeing here is the Balkinization of the US political scene. I dont know how much i like it. i dont pretend to know the future. This is just my idiot rambling for the day
Signing off.
nanoo-nanoo


From: OK, USA | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 03 December 2002 07:23 PM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Idiot rambling is right. Although I your prediction as to the fate of the Democratic (not Democrat, which would be if I called your party the Repuke party) Party may be correct, at least in the short term.

The modern left wing did not come about after WWII. What was the New Deal?

Clinton was not an "enormously popular" president in 1994. His approval ratings were under 50%. And it takes some nerve to complain that Clinton didn't get a majority when Shrub didn't even get the most votes. And the business about stealing the 2000 election is pure garbage which I won't respond to.

Finally, the Republicans do not have most state legislatures (they're called legislatures, not congresses). There's about an even split. Governorships are 26-24, also about an even split.


From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Smith
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posted 03 December 2002 07:31 PM      Profile for Smith     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Also, they got a whoppin' 20% of the electorate to vote for them in the latest midterm elections. Woo. Party.

As for the Democrats going to the left, well, many of them feel their problem is that they have no message, no separate ideas. So either the Republicans go further to the loony-bin Christian right (please, God, no), or they go further left.


From: Muddy York | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Jacob Two-Two
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posted 04 December 2002 03:48 AM      Profile for Jacob Two-Two     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yes, what they will really do by going "further left", which would more accurately be called "slightly sane", is to slowly win that huge mass of voters who don't bother to vote at all, having long since capitulated to the notion that all politicians are hopelessly corrupt.

Most americans (despite your illusions, Lib) support public health care and greater government services in general, as well as more regulation on corporate activity. Their governments just ignore them, is all. If the democrats can offer the people any of the many things they would like to have their government do, and put aside the concerns of their corporate sponsors, they would attract a large, previously disingaged voter base.


From: There is but one Gord and Moolah is his profit | Registered: Jan 2002  |  IP: Logged
TommyPaineatWork
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posted 04 December 2002 04:27 AM      Profile for TommyPaineatWork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Another view.

People conveniently forget that there's a huge voter block in the U.S.-- and a growing one in Canada, of voters that don't vote because they don't have a place to put that vote.

That's what has killed the Democrats lately. Their move to the right encouraged left of center people to stay home or vote Green. Most stayed home.

People can look at the Jesse Ventura governorship as a flash in the pan, but the seminal lesson in that was a shoot from the lip ex professional wrestler won an election by harvesting the non voting voter block.

The move by the Democrats to familiar turf gives not just traditional Democrats a place to vote again, it gives the "Regan Democrats" and the "Bubba" vote a place to go when they get tired of the Republicans and look to vote elsewhere. There's little point in voting for psuedo-Republicans, as the Democrats had become, when you have the real McCoy already in place.

So, far from being the death knell of the Democratic party, this could signal its re-emergence as an alternative to the Republicans.

---------

Funny, the Republicans always run on the "fiscal conservative" plank, but with Regan and now Bush, we see government spending, and the deficit, go through the roof.

How is it they never get called on this kind of thing, and, on top of it, maintain the big lie of "fiscal conservatism"?

Ah, must be that liberal bias in the media again.


From: London | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Smith
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posted 04 December 2002 07:36 AM      Profile for Smith     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Funny, the Republicans always run on the "fiscal conservative" plank, but with Regan and now Bush, we see government spending, and the deficit, go through the roof.

It's a Republican pattern. By "fiscal conservative," they mean "tax cuts," which of course is not fiscally conservative if you jack up funding to the military at the same time you're making the tax cuts. But your average person, I guess, doesn't see the federal books, doesn't know where the money is coming from, doesn't understand that in the case of the government it can quite literally come out of nowhere.

It's interesting that Clinton is the one who got them on track economically, at least for a while - who cut their deficit, put them on the road to recovery. And then Bush comes along, and before you can say "tax cut," he's made a huge one, skewed, of course, in favour of the very wealthy. Where are they going to get the money for this? Oh, somewhere.

And then we have this "war," and will he cancel the tax cut? No. Where will they get the money for the war? Somewhere.

Funny, when tax money is used for schools and welfare and health care, it's a waste and a disgrace and people scream bloody murder - but when it's used for weapons, that's okay.

I don't understand people sometimes.

Well, I do, actually, and I think they're selfish paranoid fucks, but oh well.


From: Muddy York | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 04 December 2002 09:47 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
There's a strategy behind the Republican deficits. By creating the deficits, the Republicans can then bolster their argument to cut domestic spending and prevent new domestic government programs from being created.
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Smith
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posted 04 December 2002 11:04 AM      Profile for Smith     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Huh. So what's the point? They spend the money so they won't have the money to spend later? They really hate social programs that much?
From: Muddy York | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 04 December 2002 11:14 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yes and Yes.
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Sisyphus
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posted 04 December 2002 05:19 PM      Profile for Sisyphus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
They spend the money so they won't have the money to spend later? They really hate social programs that much?

Hey Smith, this is what Mike Harris was doing since he proved that democracy is a very flawed system here in Ontory-o.
The whole "crisis in health care" has been manufactured in this way, IMO.
Paul Martin is a master of the "kill the patient and then complain he's not paying his bill" approach to program spending.

I mean, we can afford war, a rebate to voters whose political activism ends at the last line of their damn electrical bills, tax cuts to the rich and corporations as well as millions of dollars in bogus consulting fees, but suggest it might be nice if seniors taking care of relatives with dementia with their own resources had people to help them with it for a couple of hours a day and you're portrayed as some thug stealing hard-earned cash from defenseless investors with too much cash and an eye on for-profit MRI clinics.

Edited to add, since this is the first thread I've shared with the much-maligned Libertarian, I'd just like to say that I feel rather bad at the attacks your posts have garnered on this usually-tolerant newsgroup, particularly when you're good enough to post howlers like this

quote:
In 2000 America saw to it that a Conservative Republican was elected, despite the Democrat attempt to steal the election.
that preclude the necessity of replying to, let alone attacking you. Thanks.

[ December 04, 2002: Message edited by: Sisyphus ]

[ December 04, 2002: Message edited by: Sisyphus ]


From: Never Never Land | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
The Libertarian
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posted 05 December 2002 02:10 AM      Profile for The Libertarian        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
anything over 50% is a majority....so yes, Republicans do indeed hold a total majority in both state and federal governemnts.

Check this interesting tidbit out
http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=29857


From: OK, USA | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 05 December 2002 07:24 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The change in the electoral makeup the last ten years occurred almost exclusively in the south. In many states outside the south the Democrats are actually stronger than they were ten years. But from Virginia to Florida in the south, and Texas and Oklahoma in the west, congressional and legislative representation has flipped in most places from Democrat to Republican.

This is inevitable in that the south stuck with the Democratic party for years out of anger because of the civil war and its aftermath. For many years, the south actually had a good many economic populists. However, since the civil rights era of the 1960s the south has become more and more Republican and less and less populist.


From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Smith
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posted 05 December 2002 07:25 AM      Profile for Smith     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Why did that happen? Was it a race issue (the whole "black welfare queens" stereotype), or what was it?
From: Muddy York | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 05 December 2002 07:38 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It was several factors. After the 1990 census, redistricting created many black majority districts, which had the effect of leaving white Democrats (some of whom weren't worth saving) in vulnerable districts. The Clintons became hated figures in the white south, and that hurt. But I think what finally happened is that most of the white south starting voting on the non-presidential level the same way they had been voting on the presidential level for some thirty years. And, yes, race was a big factor in that. The Democrats were identified as the "party of the blacks."
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged

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