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Author Topic: Back to school in the fall....
Alwald
recent-rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1004

posted 10 July 2001 07:10 PM      Profile for Alwald   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
When students return to school in the fall
they should be allowed to know the Eternal
Structure of Every List of Numbers....Take a look at what could have happened if Adam Smith and Karl Marx had been allowed to know,
go to:-Addressing the Extremes of Wealth and Poverty.

From: Toronto | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 490

posted 08 August 2001 10:04 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Speaking of school, I should pop in with links to some statistics and an interesting chart.
http://www.fuckedeconomy.ca/~drconway/Inflation1970s.png http://www.fuckedeconomy.ca/~drconway/Inflation1980s.png http://www.fuckedeconomy.ca/~drconway/Inflation1990s.png

Notice that for nearly 20 years (the 1970s and 1980s) our inflation rates tended to closely parallel those of the USA and in fact tended to be a touch higher. Then in the 1990s, they diverged - and Canada's inflation rates remained a percentage point or more below the US's.

Now for a fun chart.

The above chart is for the United States. Notice how money supply growth and the decennial trend in inflation rates move in absolute lockstep.

PS - notice the pronounced trough between the 1860s peak and the 1910s peak - in between those decades was the US civil war and the recovery that followed. This was pretty much the only economic disruption the USA has ever had that affected such a fundamental cycle.

[ August 08, 2001: Message edited by: DrConway ]


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 490

posted 09 August 2001 04:03 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Alllllllllllll fixed now!

[ August 10, 2001: Message edited by: DrConway ]


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Dawna Matrix
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 156

posted 09 August 2001 04:59 PM      Profile for Dawna Matrix     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I need to pick a course for September - should it be Narrative in Writing, or Literature for our Times? Anyone done these courses at U of T?
From: the stage on cloud 9 | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
Ann O'maly
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 564

posted 10 August 2001 12:41 PM      Profile for Ann O'maly     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So with school starting, does that mean the Revolution is postponed until Thanksgiving, or Christmas?


From: Elsewhere | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
skdadl
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 478

posted 10 August 2001 03:29 PM      Profile for skdadl     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Dawna, I haven't done the courses, but Lit for Our Times sounds more socially conscious; Narrative in Writing might or might not get theoretical ... Do you have a course description?
From: gone | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Socrataire
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1000

posted 10 August 2001 03:37 PM      Profile for Socrataire     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I agree with skdadl about course description and social relevance but I also advise students to look at the required readings in a course, if you can. They should be in the U. bookstores any day now. They are usually a very good guide to what the prof wants to direct you to.
From: WWW | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Dawna Matrix
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 156

posted 10 August 2001 04:19 PM      Profile for Dawna Matrix     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I've read a fair share of the books already. The lit 4 our times is mostly modern (not contemporary) but the narrative uses different media, including movies. I like analysing movies. I could write a hefty essay on Oedipal Complex and HOOK.
From: the stage on cloud 9 | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
rasmus
malcontent
Babbler # 621

posted 11 August 2001 02:27 AM      Profile for rasmus   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Sorry I missed those graphs DrC... yeah, they're impressive. Well if that pattern holds we should expect an inflationary period to come next in the US; the money supply is already exploding. That only dovetails with the expectation that the inevitable fall in the dollar will create strong inflationary pressure in the US. Also, I must say it supports Shutt's fundamental assertion that Keynesianism was unable to break the long-term rhythms of capitalism.

As for the difference between US and Canadian inflation rates, can you enlighten this humble feather-flyer as to the Canadian motivation for such stringent anti-inflationary policy? I know you've mentioned it before, I just haven't absorbed it yet.


From: Fortune favours the bold | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 490

posted 11 August 2001 04:03 AM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I, too, have come to be of the opinion that we will see an inflationary recession sometime in the 2000s. Speaking of which, didn't Timecop (the movie) have a newspaper in 2004 which said "Fed predicts slow growth until 2010"? Foresight, eh?

I'm baaack.

Ok. The Canadian anti-inflationary tendencies being stricter than that of the USA's seem to be largely a product of John Crow's personal paranoias. Linda McQuaig's description of John Crow's IMF experience and thus knowledge of Latin American hyperinflations, coupled with the still-fresh memory of the 1970s and how that time period affected industrial economies all point to a possible explanation - that being that John Crow was perhaps more strongly impressed than the case warranted for inflation control and that his personal fears of inflation had a good deal to do with his actions as Governor of the Bank of Canada.

By contrast, Gerald Bouey, while having been front and center in the battle against high inflation in the 1970s, appears to have been tolerant of the "status quo" of inflation rates doing about 4% per year since 1983 unil he retired in 1987.

There's a big difference between having to bring inflation down from 12% to 4% and wanting to pull it from 4% down to almost zero.

John Crow's war record in his battle against inflation have led to the following results:

  • The longest recession of any G7 country in the early 1990s
  • The weakest recovery seen in Canada from that same recession compared to other G7 countries
  • The highest unemployment rates in Canada seen since the recession of the 1980s

Gordon Thiessen and David Dodge, unfortunately come from the same stripes as John Crow (G. Thiessen having been Senior Deputy Governor under John Crow since 1987), and David Dodge having been on the Anti-Inflation Board back in the 1970s as well as having been the architect of Paul Martin's 1995 budget.

However, a small encouragment to me is that the Bank of Canada has changed its inflation targetting in a little-trumpeted news release - it was buried in the National Post when I read it some time ago. The targetting is now "core" inflation instead of overall inflation, which as I mentioned in another thread, introduces a bias as to whether or not to raise interest rates. Why? Because under the old targets, the Bank of Canada would already be raising interest rates because overall inflation year-over-year has gone above the 3% mark. But core inflation continues to remain at about 1.5% to 2.0% year-over-year.

[ August 11, 2001: Message edited by: DrConway ]


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged

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