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Author Topic: The Hidden Cost of Hybrid Cars
abnormal
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posted 14 December 2005 07:17 AM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
If anybody's seriously considering a hybrid car, this makes interesting reading. Not only do the batteries have a limited lifespan they're expensive and disposal represents and environmental question mark. Add to that the fact that the cars themselves are designed to last about as long as the batteries - somehow the idea of a disposable car doesn't seem environmentally friendly - and it's not clear to me what the advantages, economically or environmentally, of the current generation of cars are.

quote:
Hybrid cars are hitting our roads in ever increasing numbers as purchase prices come down and fuel prices go up. But the substantial hidden costs of owning a hybrid car could make it a financial time bomb.

Owners of 'environmentally friendly' hybrid cars like the Toyota Prius and Honda Insight may be hit with a bill for up to $7000 when their car's battery dies less than eight years after purchase. The battery unit, which has a lifespan of 8-10 years -- shorter in hotter climates like Australia -- cannot be reconditioned. It must be thrown out and replaced with a new one, at considerable cost to the owner.

"A replacement battery on the Insight retails for $6840," said Honda spokesman Mark Higgins. Honda began selling the Insight hybrid in Japan car in 1997 and in Australia in 2000. It sold 44 Insights before withdrawing the futuristic-looking two-door coupe from the market earlier this year. Honda will re-enter the hybrid market with the Civic sedan in March, and aims to sell around 20 per month.


quote:
To further add environmental insult to injury, a considerable cloud exists over just how recyclable NickelMetal Hydride batteries really are - some reports even suggest that those who buy green may be doing more environmental harm than good. Both Toyota and Honda were unable to tell CarPoint exactly how much of the battery could be recycled. Both have left the task of recycling in the hands of a third party recycler.

Internet site www.BatteryUniversity.com warns against the careless disposable of Ni-MH batteries, due to the toxicity of it main derivative, Nickel.



From: far, far away | Registered: Aug 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 14 December 2005 12:35 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The people I talk to who want hybrids hand-wave away the possibility that the end-of-warranty period will screw them over, and just assume that there'll be el-cheapo batteries in seven years.

Good luck.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Sleeping Sun
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posted 14 December 2005 12:50 PM      Profile for Sleeping Sun     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
As a hybrid owner, I'm fully expecting that my battery will cease to work approximately 18 hours after the warranty expires. And I fully expect to pay through the nose for a new one.

These were issues we looked at before we got the car. Our previous car, an old student beater, was really beyond repair, and we needed a new car (Mr. Sun works in a very bus un-friendly area). Of the things we looked at, battery life and replacement cost were included. As was disposal, and this was our biggest reservation. But, as we look around, the lifespan of cars these days is not very long. Without getting into a 'they just aren't made the way they used to be' spiel, a large majority of cars are meant to be disposable and replaced in short time. Add to that the fact that the city of Ottawa uses obscene (in my mind) amounts of salt, that hastens the downfall of any metal products, and you'll see that a 7 year lifespan is not uncommon.

So, seeing as we were going to be buying a car anyways (and as environmentally minded as we try to be, our personal comfort level and Mr. Sun's sanity dictated that we have a vehicle), we thought that was the best choice we could make at that time. Maybe we were wrong.

Rather than hope for cheap replacement batteries, I'm hoping they will find better ways to recycle them.


From: when I find out, I'll let you know | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged
Briguy
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posted 14 December 2005 01:08 PM      Profile for Briguy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I'm not sure that I trust the math in that article (especially since only one side of the expense equation is shown). How much money does the consumer save on gas over the lifetime of these cars? Does that not offset the (currently high) cost of a replacement battery? In fact, I distrust the premise that any car can be considered an 'investment'. They all depreciate insanely over the 2-5 years that the primary owner is expected to own one.

And, as has been pointed out, recycling technology and parts costs will decrease as the hybrids become more popular. If there end up being a bunch of hybrids on Canadian roads, I expect that Canadian Tire's nosey spokesactor will soon enough be tormenting his fake neighbour with Motomaster's replacement battery.


From: No one is arguing that we should run the space program based on Physics 101. | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
Cartman
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posted 14 December 2005 01:17 PM      Profile for Cartman        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Rather than hope for cheap replacement batteries, I'm hoping they will find better ways to recycle them.
You should expect both IMO. The feds should also be helping out people like you who do make such purchases.

From: Bring back Audra!!!!! | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 14 December 2005 03:04 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I must admit that, on a very rough calculation, I'm not sure it saves you much if you do replace the battery.
Say you're saving $50 a month on gas over a similar non-hybrid model. That works out to just $4200 over seven years. Even if battery costs come down considerably in that time, you could just be breaking even.

One inobvious thing--it may be that these cars will require less maintenance. They're more complex, yes, but electric motors are pretty simple, low-maintenance things, and the gas engine should see less wear because it's putt-putting along at a constant speed right in its "sweet spot" as it were.

Nonetheless, it seems to me that the big money is as usual not going in the best directions. To heck with batteries--I want to see flywheels. Flywheels last forever, aren't made of anything too toxic, and don't have the current flow limitations of batteries (which means that flywheel cars could quite conceivably knock the doors off gas-guzzlers for acceleration).


From: Caithnard College | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Cougyr
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posted 14 December 2005 03:27 PM      Profile for Cougyr     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Toyota tackled the big problem: idling. The Prius does not idle. All other hybrids are really just electric assist and the gas motors run all the time. Regardless of how they go about it, the car companies have to find a way to stop cars from idling. Why idling? Because that's the biggest fuel waster for any vehicle.
From: over the mountain | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Sleeping Sun
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posted 14 December 2005 03:36 PM      Profile for Sleeping Sun     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Exactly.

So, instead of looking at it from a purely financial point of view (is the cost of battery replacement + premium for a hybrid equal/less than/greater than savings in fuel), you can also look at the environmental impact (how does reduced emissions compare to battery disposal?). It's a tough call to make.

And the whole not idling thing is a little freaky at first. I'd get a momentary startle when my car just stopped, thinking I stalled it or something. It's also good for surprising pedestrians in parking lots (the lights are on, but there is no noise, so they're not expecting you to move).


From: when I find out, I'll let you know | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 14 December 2005 04:47 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Cougyr:
Toyota tackled the big problem: idling. The Prius does not idle. All other hybrids are really just electric assist and the gas motors run all the time. Regardless of how they go about it, the car companies have to find a way to stop cars from idling. Why idling? Because that's the biggest fuel waster for any vehicle.

I always thought that wasn't a problem with hybrids because the gas motors keep running but they're not running at wasteful idling speeds, they're going at their usual full speed and charging the battery.


From: Caithnard College | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Cougyr
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posted 14 December 2005 05:40 PM      Profile for Cougyr     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Rufus Polson:
I always thought that wasn't a problem with hybrids because the gas motors keep running but they're not running at wasteful idling speeds, they're going at their usual full speed and charging the battery.

With Honda and others, that is true. Toyota has developed what its fans call "stealth mode". When you pull up to a stop light, the engine shuts off. (Stealth is bloody spooky.) When you start moving again, the engine will start up if necessary, but only if necessary. The thing is, if you are inching your way in rush hour stop start traffic, the Prius will do most of it without using the gas engine. The Prius is truely a city car; it gets better fuel economy in the city than on the highway. The worse your city driving gets, the better the Prius behaves.


From: over the mountain | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
abnormal
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posted 14 December 2005 08:46 PM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
The people I talk to who want hybrids hand-wave away the possibility that the end-of-warranty period will screw them over, and just assume that there'll be el-cheapo batteries in seven years.

Given that the cars are expected to last eight to ten years this doesn't mean a lot.

from the article I posted:

quote:
concedes the batteries, like the car itself, are built to last less than a decade. "The life of the car and the battery are supposed to be the same... around 8 to 10 years," he said. "We're not expecting to replace them [the batteries]. In fact we only hold one [replacement] battery in stock nationally."

Ignoring cost, if you combine the battery recycling issue with the fact that the entire car is designed to go to the dump at about the same time the battery dies, I find it hard to argue that hybrids are environmentally efficient. The energy required to build a new car (from the steel mills to the time the car is on the road) and the associated environmental impacts has got to exceed any benefits to the environment that result from fuel efficiency.


From: far, far away | Registered: Aug 2001  |  IP: Logged
C.Morgan
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posted 14 December 2005 09:05 PM      Profile for C.Morgan   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Non-hybrid cars are expensive disposables as well.

I purchased a new GMC truck a couple months ago and it has been in for warranty work twice already and now needs new brake pads. For 60k one would think that a vehicle would last a year at least before seeing a shop.

I can't imagine what a domestic piece of garbage like that will cost after the warrenty is expired. After market Allison transmissions cost $12k to replace.

I hear that Toyota will be offering a 3/4 ton diesel soon and I can finally kiss the big three manufacturers goodbye.

If any auto manufacturer wants to make inroads in the market in a big way, they need to produce vehicles that will last decades rather than a handfull of years. It used to be done, why have we gone backwards?


From: Calgary | Registered: Jun 2004  |  IP: Logged
Boom Boom
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posted 14 December 2005 09:19 PM      Profile for Boom Boom     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Quote: I purchased a new GMC truck a couple months ago and it has been in for warranty work twice already and now needs new brake pads. For 60k one would think that a vehicle would last a year at least before seeing a shop.
-
Wow. How hard do you drive your truck? I drive a Mazda 4x2 half-ton, all the dealer has had to do so (at six months) far is he initial oil change and check the tire pressures. It's a year old now and aside from mud on the floormats, just like new. I use it as a daily driver here, the only work it gets is hauling a load firewood once a week. I'm putting it away for the winter this weekend. I had a Toyota 4x2 half-ton for seven years ('82 - '89) and never had a problem with it, despite going into the bush most weekends and getting muddied up, in addition to it being my daily driver 12 months of the year. I expect (hope) my Mazda truck will be my last new vehicle.

From: Make the rich pay! | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged
C.Morgan
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posted 14 December 2005 09:25 PM      Profile for C.Morgan   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Thats the worst part. The couple contracts that I have had since purchasing did not involve much hard driving at all relative to my job. I cant imagine what will happen when I really have to work it. I am leaving for Inuvik on the 28th and if I break down on the Dempster the dealership which sold to me had better hope that I freeze to death.

Almost all of the new 3/4 ton Fords up here lost their four wheel drive in the last cold snap as well. This was a problem with the 2004 Fords as well yet it seems that they havent solved it yet.

We are seeing more and more Tundras and Nissan full sized in the field now. I expect that it will grow. As soon as you said Mazda I understood your lack in problems. Domestic trucks are crap and only getting worse I fear.


From: Calgary | Registered: Jun 2004  |  IP: Logged
tallyho
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posted 14 December 2005 09:51 PM      Profile for tallyho        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I have an 1983 Ford Truck and it's as good as the day I bought it. Any repair 'no problemo' even by a weekend mechanic like myself.

Our 98 Jeep problem free to date (if it was a hybrid I'd be looking at a replacement $7000 battery!!!) I'll get another 10 years out of the Jeep.

My wife has a Camry but it's not practical in our line of work. It's hard to judge because it hasn't been used for much more than city and hwy driving.


From: The NDP sells out Alberta workers | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Boom Boom
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posted 14 December 2005 11:00 PM      Profile for Boom Boom     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
My brother lives and works on a farm, has an older Ford F150 2x4, I think it's a 1985, and it's been a piece of shit almost from the day he brought it new. 20 years old, never been in an accident, yet there's two holes in the floorboards, the passenger door won't close properly, rust everywhere. I know other folks like their Fords, but there's some real crappy Ford trucks out there too. Yet they continue to sell very well, especially the F150, although the big Dodge Ram is quite popular also. I think the larger Japanese trucks will continue to make inroads once people get tired of bad experiences with American iron. I don't think the Japanese makers have anything the size of an F150 or Dodge Ram here, yet. The Tundra is smaller, isn't it?
From: Make the rich pay! | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged
tallyho
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posted 14 December 2005 11:49 PM      Profile for tallyho        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Older Fords (and Chevys) are good because you can keep them going forever. I prefer to drive it into 'nowhere' Montana or Wyoming, etc. because if it breaks down every grease monkey has a shed full of parts. They are pre-computer and everything is accesible.

Our 98 Jeep in contrast? Yikes. I had a hard time finding the plug-in for the heater.


From: The NDP sells out Alberta workers | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Briguy
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posted 15 December 2005 07:52 AM      Profile for Briguy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by abnormal:

Ignoring cost, if you combine the battery recycling issue with the fact that the entire car is designed to go to the dump at about the same time the battery dies, I find it hard to argue that hybrids are environmentally efficient. The energy required to build a new car (from the steel mills to the time the car is on the road) and the associated environmental impacts has got to exceed any benefits to the environment that result from fuel efficiency.


This is true for most cars these days...at least most American cars and some Japanese and European. There are still some designed to last 10-20 years, but most are meant to be disposable. Your argument is not specific to Hybrids, but can be applied to practically any model.


From: No one is arguing that we should run the space program based on Physics 101. | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
rsfarrell
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posted 15 December 2005 08:52 AM      Profile for rsfarrell        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Rufus Polson:
[QB]I must admit that, on a very rough calculation, I'm not sure it saves you much if you do replace the battery.
Say you're saving $50 a month on gas over a similar non-hybrid model. That works out to just $4200 over seven years. Even if battery costs come down considerably in that time, you could just be breaking even.

At the moment, cost is not the big selling point of Hybrids. An 80% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions is. If that's not important to you, a hybrid is not going to seem like a good deal.

quote:
One inobvious thing--it may be that these cars will require less maintenance. They're more complex, yes, but electric motors are pretty simple, low-maintenance things, and the gas engine should see less wear because it's putt-putting along at a constant speed right in its "sweet spot" as it were.

My uncle owns a repair shop and he tells me that's true. He expected the first round of hybrids to be buggy and breakdown-prone, but the opposite is proving to be the case.

quote:
To heck with batteries--I want to see flywheels. Flywheels last forever, aren't made of anything too toxic, and don't have the current flow limitations of batteries (which means that flywheel cars could quite conceivably knock the doors off gas-guzzlers for acceleration).

Besides the fact that the technology is purely theoretical at this point, the problem with flywheels is that cars crash. If you're storing a gas tank's worth of chemical energy as kinetic energy, the risks of catastrophic failure are huge.


From: Portland, Oregon | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged

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