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Author Topic: Am I the only one comfortable with a Tory minority with a stronger NDP presence?
cratez05
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posted 07 January 2006 01:14 AM      Profile for cratez05     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Consider the obvious: the Canadian political landscape is dominated by four arguably progressive political parties (Greens, NDP, Liberals, Bloc) and only one Consersative party. Anything the Conservatives tried to pass that was too right wing (privatizing the health care system, scrapping the national child care plan, or proposing more wasteful, expensive tax cuts) would likely die a quick legislative death.

The Liberals, though definitely incapable of the evils a majority Tory government would implement, have proven themselves to be the party of apathy, inaction (environment), centrism (tax cuts), maintaining the status quo (doing relatively nothing to fix our ailing public health care system), and corruption (need I list examples?).

The Conservatives and the NDP share common ground on accountability and cleaning up government corruption; mandatory minimum sentences for the illegal possession of firearms; tax cuts for low-income earners; and lowering the voting age to 16.

I'm sure that, with Liberal, Bloc, and (if they win a seat) Green backing, the NDP could also push for other progressive priorities. Anyone care to agree/disagree?


From: London, Ontario | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged
arborman
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posted 07 January 2006 02:10 AM      Profile for arborman     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Whoever is PM, the NDP should be pushing, hard, for a change to the electoral system.
From: I'm a solipsist - isn't everyone? | Registered: Aug 2003  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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posted 07 January 2006 04:51 AM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by arborman:
Whoever is PM, the NDP should be pushing, hard, for a change to the electoral system.

Conservative Party policy on Electoral Reform is:
quote:
10. Electoral Reform
i) A Conservative Government will consider changes to electoral systems, including proportional representation, the single transferable ballot, fixed election dates, and the use of referendums.
ii) In reviewing options for electoral reform, a Conservative Government will not endorse any new electoral system that will weaken the link between Members of Parliament and their constituents, that will create unmanageably large ridings, or that will strengthen the control of the party machinery over individual Members of Parliament. A national referendum will be held prior to implementing any electoral reform proposal.

I can live with that.

From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6718

posted 07 January 2006 05:22 AM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by cratez05:
Consider the obvious: the Canadian political landscape is dominated by four arguably progressive political parties (Greens, NDP, Liberals, Bloc) and only one Consersative party. Anything the Conservatives tried to pass that was too right wing (privatizing the health care system, scrapping the national child care plan, or proposing more wasteful, expensive tax cuts) would likely die a quick legislative death.

The Liberals, though definitely incapable of the evils a majority Tory government would implement, have proven themselves to be the party of apathy, inaction (environment), centrism (tax cuts), maintaining the status quo (doing relatively nothing to fix our ailing public health care system), and corruption (need I list examples?).

The Conservatives and the NDP share common ground on accountability and cleaning up government corruption; mandatory minimum sentences for the illegal possession of firearms; tax cuts for low-income earners; and lowering the voting age to 16.

I'm sure that, with Liberal, Bloc, and (if they win a seat) Green backing, the NDP could also push for other progressive priorities. Anyone care to agree/disagree?


The child care program is dead under a Conservative government (any type).

The NDP will be powerless to push for anything. The Conservatives will not need their support, with the Bloc pledged to not bring down the government and the Liberals unwilling to while they replace Martin.

Electoral reform will NOT happen. Tax "reform" will.


From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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posted 07 January 2006 12:08 PM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by RealityBites:
The child care program is dead under a Conservative government (any type).

I've never understood that. Harper proposes to cancel the present federal-provincial child care agreements, to fund his $23 per week plan. That agreement was found money for Quebec, since they already have a great child care program. So the Bloc cannot possibly support Harper's plan, nor will any other party. It's the first thing a minority Conservative government would have to drop, isn't it?

Assuming, of course, that there is any such animal as a Conservative minority government. Last election Martin carefully hinted he might resign and let Harper form a government, if the Conservatives got a few more seats than the Liberals, while carefully never committing himself to do so. Unless Martin knows he will be defeated on the first confidence vote in the new House, why would he resign? The democratic thing is to meet the House and let Parliament decide.


From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
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posted 07 January 2006 12:17 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
There was no long-term legislation passed guaranteeing the money, just a budget allocation. They won't be able to cancel what's already pledged, but once that's gone, so is the program.
From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
cratez05
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posted 07 January 2006 12:30 PM      Profile for cratez05     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by RealityBites:

The child care program is dead under a Conservative government (any type).

The NDP will be powerless to push for anything. The Conservatives will not need their support, with the Bloc pledged to not bring down the government and the Liberals unwilling to while they replace Martin.

Electoral reform will NOT happen. Tax "reform" will.


I think all of this would be true if the Tories formed a majority government. However, you are forgetting that the Liberals, Bloc, and NDP (and Greens) ALL support a national child care program that is already underway and they would unequivocally vote against any legislation to scrap it.

Furthermore, no matter how much the Conservatives and NDP disagree with each other ideologically, no minority government can ignore a party that holds the balance of power, and the NDP would at least be able to push through the aforementioned priorities that they share with the Tories.

Finally, what about the gigantic elephant in the room? You know, that Liberal party that's been in power for the last 12 years and simply cannot fathom being an opposition party?

The Liberals, in an attempt to differentiate themselves from the Conservatives for the next election, would make it VERY difficult for the Tories to pass anything that - at least in terms of optics - opposed traditional Canadian values (i.e. unfair taxation, privatizing health care).

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: cratez05 ]


From: London, Ontario | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged
Stockholm
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posted 07 January 2006 01:16 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
There has been some speculation about the Liberals holding on to power even if the Tories got more seats in a minority situation. I think this could happen in a CPC 115/Libs 110/ BQ 60/NDP 30 type of scenario. But i think that if the Conservatives had a really clear advantage over the Liberals (ie: 135 to 95) Martin would really have no choice but to resign.

That being said, one reform that the Conservatives have proposed (and that I agree with) is to drastically broaden the number of types of bills that a government can lose without having to dissolve parliament. They want a situation where the opposition could combine to defeat, for example, a tax increase on low income people, and the government goes on and goes back to the drawing board. They want it so that a minority government can only be forced out if there is a formal "vote of no confidece".

In other words in a Tory minority, the opposition could vote down Tory policies at will without any fear that they were forcing an election.


From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002  |  IP: Logged
Gir Draxon
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posted 07 January 2006 01:34 PM      Profile for Gir Draxon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by RealityBites:

The child care program is dead under a Conservative government (any type).

...

Electoral reform will NOT happen. Tax "reform" will.


Good.


From: Arkham Asylum | Registered: Feb 2003  |  IP: Logged
capebretoner
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posted 07 January 2006 01:46 PM      Profile for capebretoner        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by cratez05:

I think all of this would be true if the Tories formed a majority government. However, you are forgetting that the Liberals, Bloc, and NDP (and Greens) ALL support a national child care program that is already underway and they would unequivocally vote against any legislation to scrap it.

Furthermore, no matter how much the Conservatives and NDP disagree with each other ideologically, no minority government can ignore a party that holds the balance of power, and the NDP would at least be able to push through the aforementioned priorities that they share with the Tories.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: cratez05 ]


As RB already said, there is nothing to "scrap". There is no child care legislation. It was a budget allocation. The Tories would simply not allocate any new money. There is nothing for the libs, ndp, bloq to vote against.

Also, as RB has also said, it is extremely unlikely that the ndp will hold the balance of power. The Bloq will. They have also pledged not to bring down any new gov't and the loser of the two big parties will not bring a gov't down either as they will be looking for a new leader. In other words: ndp powerless in next parliament unless libs+ndp=155+.


From: blah blah blah | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
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posted 07 January 2006 01:55 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by capebretoner:
In other words: ndp powerless in next parliament unless libs+ndp=155+.

Even then. With the Bloc pledged not to bring down the government, and the Cons almost certainly in a rebuilding phase, the Liberals could do whatever they want.

The NDP got some budget spending and marriage passed. That's it for the next three years, except what can be accomplished by rallying public opinion.


From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
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posted 07 January 2006 01:57 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Gir Draxon:

Good.


You know, about the only satisfaction I can take in a Conservative government is the knowledge of how badly naive idiots like you are going to be screwed left and right. Too bad it will happen to good people too.


From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
scott
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posted 07 January 2006 02:12 PM      Profile for scott   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
The idea that the best way forward for the NDP is by way of a Conservative minority reminds me of the German Communist position in the 1930s - "first the Nazis then us". A few years later when they were cooling thier heels in camps I am sure that it didn't seem like such a good idea.
From: Kootenays BC | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
simonvallee
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posted 07 January 2006 02:22 PM      Profile for simonvallee   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
About the Conservative policy on electoral reform:

The first point seem positive enough, they say they keep an "open mind" on every electoral system. I hear some say "yeah! we'll get PR".

However, direct your attention to the secon point:

quote:
ii) In reviewing options for electoral reform, a Conservative Government will not endorse any new electoral system that will weaken the link between Members of Parliament and their constituents, that will create unmanageably large ridings, or that will strengthen the control of the party machinery over individual Members of Parliament. A national referendum will be held prior to implementing any electoral reform proposal.

So first, any list system is right out. STV (or PR-STV for those who confuse it with AV) is also eliminated as a possible system since it would require large ridings to be really proportional. MMP is also very unlikely since there is a class of MPs that have limited links to their constituents and are MPs of large regions too. Any attempt to use lists in MMP to increase women's and minorities' representation (personally I disagree, I'm for equality, not parity) is giving more power to the party over MPs and that way is also closed.

In short, the Conservatives don't leave much in the way of possible proportional systems that could be implemented. If they are like a Conservative I've discussed with on another forum, the only alternative system they'd accept would be Alternative Vote like in Australia (if you prefer, 1-member-per-riding STV), not a proportional system at all that would probably make it even harder for smaller parties to gain seats.

And the referendum clause is also a convenient way to stop such reform by demanding undemocratic goals like 60% or other such demands.

In other words, the Conservatives claim to be open, but they know where their interests lie and have closed the door to any system that wouldn't advantage them.


From: Boucherville, Québec | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 07 January 2006 03:04 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Comfortable? Nope. But I'll take it, if that's what comes of it.

Let's face it - none of us has any influence on the national outcome, only on their own actions. When you look at it that way, there is no point in expending negative energy worrying about something that you can have no effect on. If Stephen Harper is PM - I'll deal with it. If Paul Martin is PM - I'll deal with it. If the NDP loses all their seats to the Christian Heritage Party - I'll deal with it.

Ultimately, our job is to work within whichever parameters the voters choose.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: Screaming Lord Byron ]


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 07 January 2006 03:04 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by scott:
The idea that the best way forward for the NDP is by way of a Conservative minority reminds me of the German Communist position in the 1930s - "first the Nazis then us". A few years later when they were cooling thier heels in camps I am sure that it didn't seem like such a good idea.

Five minutes in the penalty box for unnecessary godwinning.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: Screaming Lord Byron ]


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Threads
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posted 07 January 2006 03:09 PM      Profile for Threads     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
No need to worry, SLB. Christian Heritage isn't contesting all the NDP's seats.
From: where I stand | Registered: Dec 2002  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 07 January 2006 03:11 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Threads:
No need to worry, SLB. Christian Heritage isn't contesting all the NDP's seats.

Phew. I can't tell you how many nights I've woken up screaming at 3am about the possibility of a late CHP surge. The horror!


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
davidt
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posted 07 January 2006 03:17 PM      Profile for davidt   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by cratez05:
Consider the obvious: the Canadian political landscape is dominated by four arguably progressive political parties (Greens, NDP, Liberals, Bloc) and only one Consersative party. Anything the Conservatives tried to pass that was too right wing (privatizing the health care system, scrapping the national child care plan, or proposing more wasteful, expensive tax cuts) would likely die a quick legislative death.

The Liberals, though definitely incapable of the evils a majority Tory government would implement, have proven themselves to be the party of apathy, inaction (environment), centrism (tax cuts), maintaining the status quo (doing relatively nothing to fix our ailing public health care system), and corruption (need I list examples?).

The Conservatives and the NDP share common ground on accountability and cleaning up government corruption; mandatory minimum sentences for the illegal possession of firearms; tax cuts for low-income earners; and lowering the voting age to 16.

I'm sure that, with Liberal, Bloc, and (if they win a seat) Green backing, the NDP could also push for other progressive priorities. Anyone care to agree/disagree?



The cons and NDP do not agree on lowering taxes for the poor the cons want to raise taxes on the poor.


From: hong kong | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
caliope
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posted 07 January 2006 03:26 PM      Profile for caliope        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by capebretoner:

As RB already said, there is nothing to "scrap". There is no child care legislation. It was a budget allocation. The Tories would simply not allocate any new money. There is nothing for the libs, ndp, bloq to vote against.


Could the NDP, Bloc and Liberals not insist that continued funding for the day care program be part of any budget that they will pass?


From: North | Registered: Jan 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
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posted 07 January 2006 04:05 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
They are not going to defeat the government. The BQ doesn't care if there's a daycare program in other provinces.

People are making a huge mistake in thinking the next parliament will be like the last one. No one needs the NDP for anything. Whichever of the two largest parties is in opposition will be busy finding a new leader and the Bloc has said they won't vote no-confidence for at least three years.


From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Left J.A.B.
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posted 07 January 2006 04:30 PM      Profile for Left J.A.B.     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Once again ladies and gentleman give it up for the Amazing Kreskin.

His next trick will be to predict the 2009 Stanley Cup Champion and the 2017 winner of the Oscar for Best Picture.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: Left J.A.B. ]


From: 4th and Main | Registered: Apr 2005  |  IP: Logged
Andy (Andrew)
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posted 07 January 2006 04:35 PM      Profile for Andy (Andrew)   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
I don't know if you are the only one comfortable with it. I hope you are.
From: Alberta | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Cartman
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posted 07 January 2006 04:53 PM      Profile for Cartman        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Once again ladies and gentleman give it up for the Amazing Kreskin.
Can you knock off the trolling please?

From: Bring back Audra!!!!! | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reality. Bites.
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6718

posted 07 January 2006 04:57 PM      Profile for Reality. Bites.        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Left J.A.B.:
Once again ladies and gentleman give it up for the Amazing Kreskin.

His next trick will be to predict the 2009 Stanley Cup Champion and the 2017 winner of the Oscar for Best Picture.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: Left J.A.B. ]


Not only are you an asshole, but you're an idiot.

There isn't a possible outcome of this election that works for the NDP, because NO ONE NEEDS THEIR SUPPORT.

Attacking me won't make that untrue. It will, however, confirm what an incredible moron you are.


From: Gone for good | Registered: Aug 2004  |  IP: Logged
Stockholm
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posted 07 January 2006 05:06 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
IF the Conservatives have 130 seats and the NDP has 30, it is not inconceivable that the Conservatives might need NDP votes for certain measures that are opposed by the Liberals and the BQ.
From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 05:17 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
IF the NDP is to have a prayer of ever being a real party with a real chance at getting to the PMO, all the fence sitters will have to vote NDP. Nothing I hate more then asking, "Who do you favour?"

"Oh the NDP of course, but I am voting LIEberal because the CPC scares me...".

Ahh geee, wouldn't you know it, there appearsto be campaign especially for NDPers, because it happens every election. The Conservatives are scarey, you should vote LIEberal.

I don't suppose anyone noticed that the LIEberals have adopted many Conservative policies over the years? NAFTA, GST to name two that they promised to revisit (gee 12 yrs later and nadda). It goes on and on.

Voting against a party is bloody useless... And as long as it happens, we will NEVER see an NDP in the PMO.

I sincerely hope for a CPC minority with the NDP forming the Official Opposition. Should that ever happen more Canadians will get a chaance to see the NDP in action, and could actually give the NDP a chance at the PMO in the following election. If the NDP party members continue to vote LIEberal for fear of the CPC, the the NDP do not deserve to hold government in neither minority or majority.

I am voting for the CPC, because I agee with the majority of thier policies. I hope for the NDP to form the official opposition, as the NDP will balance out the policies I feel need change in the CPC (like social spending, SSM, and I want the NDP to hold the CPC to electoral reform).

If we are going to see electoral reform, it will be on a CPC/NDP watch or vis versa. It will not happen on a LIEberal watch as their only interest is LIEberal interests as they have proven time and again for the majority of the last century that they held power.

(I would be happier with the old Tories back, but hey).


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 05:19 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by davidt:


The cons and NDP do not agree on lowering taxes for the poor the cons want to raise taxes on the poor.


Really, please feel free to post a link to the policy that shows this little peice of fiction.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
Andy (Andrew)
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posted 07 January 2006 05:27 PM      Profile for Andy (Andrew)   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
How can you vote for a party against basic rights for everyone?
From: Alberta | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Left J.A.B.
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posted 07 January 2006 05:29 PM      Profile for Left J.A.B.     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by RealityBites:

Not only are you an asshole, but you're an idiot.

There isn't a possible outcome of this election that works for the NDP, because NO ONE NEEDS THEIR SUPPORT.

Attacking me won't make that untrue. It will, however, confirm what an incredible moron you are.


You sure are someone who can dish it out but can't take it.
God forbid someone thinks it might be YOU and your ceaseless lecturing that is full of it. Course it couldn't be those who resort to pushing around those who happen to disagree with their points that might deserve the moniker you give me. Funny how if people respond to your scratch the surface analysis with the scorn you give others you fly off the handle. There is probably a few swear words I could throw at you too, but I won't stoop to your level.
You have no idea what the outcome will be, who will need what support, what party might like to work with the NDP rather than the Bloc, but you act like Moses with the frikkin tablets.
You know just becuase people happen to disagree with you, or have a different opinion doesn't make them stupid necessarily. Chances are though they at least know how to be civil.


From: 4th and Main | Registered: Apr 2005  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 05:38 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Andy (Andrew):
How can you vote for a party against basic rights for everyone?


Trott out the old liberal crap again eh? It's simple, as a member of the CF, I see the current NDP foreign policy as being potentially deadly to me (linking all future deployments to the UN), the Liberal and CPC policies are one and the same (Liberal lies aside). The impact on life and personal well being are at hand for me. Until the NDP adjusts foreign policy to something that does not increase my chances of getting killed for nothing, then I will continue to vote CPC.

The party is maturing WRT SSM (which is by the by the only thing you could quibble the rights issue on). It's not too terribly long ago that none of the parties were agreeable to SSM. Given time, all things mature...

In a minority position, the NDP have huge potential to take the balance of power from the LIEberals, but only if they vote for the NDP.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
simonvallee
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posted 07 January 2006 05:48 PM      Profile for simonvallee   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
It's simple, as a member of the CF, I see the current NDP foreign policy as being potentially deadly to me (linking all future deployments to the UN), the Liberal and CPC policies are one and the same (Liberal lies aside). The impact on life and personal well being are at hand for me. Until the NDP adjusts foreign policy to something that does not increase my chances of getting killed for nothing, then I will continue to vote CPC.

What the hell are you talking about? Linking military intervention to the UN is a great way of avoiding very dangerous missions as the UN only allowed once an invasion (Korea), whereas it made peacekeeping missions a lot. Peacekeeping missions may be frustrating in many cases and sometimes dangerous, but never as dangerous as the interventions that happen outside of the UN cadre where the intervening armed forces are a legitimate target for the people living there.

Try and tell me with a straight face that you'd find less dangerous going to serve in Iraq than in Kosovo. But missions more like Iraq is what you vote for when you vote Conservative.


From: Boucherville, Québec | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 06:48 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:

What the hell are you talking about? Linking military intervention to the UN is a great way of avoiding very dangerous missions as the UN only allowed once an invasion (Korea), whereas it made peacekeeping missions a lot. Peacekeeping missions may be frustrating in many cases and sometimes dangerous, but never as dangerous as the interventions that happen outside of the UN cadre where the intervening armed forces are a legitimate target for the people living there.

Try and tell me with a straight face that you'd find less dangerous going to serve in Iraq than in Kosovo. But missions more like Iraq is what you vote for when you vote Conservative.


The UN is a flawed and fucked up organisation. Having born personal witness to the incompetance of UN Peacekeeping, I would say I know what I am talking about. The UN LET 800,000 PEOPLE DIE IN RAWANDA.

As to the rest, supposition, based on what the LIEberals are saying frankly.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
caliope
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posted 07 January 2006 07:02 PM      Profile for caliope        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Reason:

The UN is a flawed and fucked up organisation. Having born personal witness to the incompetance


So let’s base our foreign policy on the well-organized and competent US government? I don’t think you’ll even find a moajority of Americans who agree with that today.


From: North | Registered: Jan 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 07:09 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by caliope:

So let’s base our foreign policy on the well-organized and competent US government? I don’t think you’ll even find a moajority of Americans who agree with that today.



Nope... Either nothing at all or NATO. Until the UN is fixed, we should get away from that mess altogeather.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
Cougyr
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posted 07 January 2006 09:28 PM      Profile for Cougyr     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
Linking military intervention to the UN is a great way of avoiding very dangerous missions as the UN only allowed once an invasion (Korea) . . .

Interesting thing about that. After WWII the Soviets sort of sponsored North Korea, as the Americans did South Korea. However, the Soviets were as blind-sided by the North Korean invasion of South Korea as everyone else. I guess that's why the Russians didn't veto that UN action.


From: over the mountain | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
cco
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posted 07 January 2006 09:38 PM      Profile for cco     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Cougyr:

Interesting thing about that. After WWII the Soviets sort of sponsored North Korea, as the Americans did South Korea. However, the Soviets were as blind-sided by the North Korean invasion of South Korea as everyone else. I guess that's why the Russians didn't veto that UN action.


Quoth Wikipedia:

Instead of pressing for a congressional declaration of war, which he regarded as too alarmist and time-consuming when time was of the essence, Truman went to the United Nations for approval. Thanks to a temporary Soviet absence from the Security Council — the Soviets were boycotting the Security Council to protest the exclusion of People's Republic of China (PRC) from the UN — there would be no veto by Stalin. The (Nationalist controlled) Republic of China government held the Chinese seat. Without the Soviet and Chinese veto and with only Yugoslavia abstaining, the UN voted to aid South Korea on June 27.


From: Montréal | Registered: Apr 2005  |  IP: Logged
jeff house
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posted 07 January 2006 09:44 PM      Profile for jeff house     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
A minority Conservative government would not be as disastrous as a majority Conservative government, but it would be terrible for Canada.

Terrible because Harper would use his first year to appear to be all sweetness and reason, handing out money right and left.

Then, he would call an election when it suits him, and using his new, moderate image, return to majority government with a vengeance.


From: toronto | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 10:32 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by jeff house:
A minority Conservative government would not be as disastrous as a majority Conservative government, but it would be terrible for Canada.

Terrible because Harper would use his first year to appear to be all sweetness and reason, handing out money right and left.

Then, he would call an election when it suits him, and using his new, moderate image, return to majority government with a vengeance.


And oddly, a minority CPC government is the only way the NDP will ever be in a position get become something other then bit players at the big kids table.


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JKR
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posted 07 January 2006 10:45 PM      Profile for JKR        Edit/Delete Post
Actually I think after one term a Conservative government would most likely be replaced by a Liberal majority. After a few years of a Harper government a lot of centre-left voters will abandon the NDP and vote Liberal just to get rid of the Conservatives. It might be a repeat of 1993 where the NDP was left decimated in the stampede away from the Tories.

A quick glance at Canada's federal electoral history shows how the Liberals have remained Canada's natural governing party.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: JKR ]


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Stockholm
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posted 07 January 2006 10:50 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Then there is the Joe Clark experience in 1979 where he decided to "govern as if he had a majority". He was dumped seven months later. Trudeau came back and the NDP gained ground in that election.

The NDP also gained ground in 1988 after Mulroney's first term.

1993 was a very special case with new parties being formed very unpopular NDP governments in Ontario and BC and a general swing to the right etc...


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Wilf Day
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posted 07 January 2006 10:51 PM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
About the Conservative policy on electoral reform: any list system is right out. PR-STV is also eliminated as a possible system since it would require large ridings to be really proportional. MMP is also very unlikely since there is a class of MPs that have limited links to their constituents and are MPs of large regions too.

Open-list MMP with, as recommended by the Law Commission, 2/3 local MPs and 1/3 regional list MPs will not weaken the link between Members of Parliament and their constituents if the regions are small, making regional open-list MPs locally accountable. The local ridings would be 50% larger than today: unmanageably large? Arguable. Open lists will not strengthen the control of the party machinery over individual Members of Parliament, when the regions are small so that the regional list members are nominated by party members in the region, not part of a centrally-drawn-up list. In short, the current Quebec model, but with open lists, and with 33% regional MPs rather than 40%, would meet the Conservative criteria. In fact, nothing in the Conservative criteria rules out province-wide proportionality (German-style linked regions.)
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
Any attempt to use lists in MMP to increase women's and minorities' representation (personally I disagree, I'm for equality, not parity) is giving more power to the party over MPs and that way is also closed.

Power? If a party chooses to nominate a "zippered" list, alternating men and women, and the voters can still vote for whom they choose regardless of the list order, the party has influence on the selection but the voters have the power. No problem for the Conservative criteria.
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
If they are like a Conservative I've discussed with on another forum, the only alternative system they'd accept would be Alternative Vote like in Australia, not a proportional system at all that would probably make it even harder for smaller parties to gain seats.

Many of them do indeed prefer AV. Even those who are neutral certainly want AV to be on the table. But so do lots of partisans in Ontario, unfortunately. A citizen-led process might choose AV, and then I would be campaigning against it in the referendum. That's a danger both with the Ontario Citizens' Assembly and any federal process. But it doesn't rule out MMP.
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
And the referendum clause is also a convenient way to stop such reform by demanding undemocratic goals like 60% or other such demands.

The Conservative statement to the House of Commons, carefully written, after the BC referendum, says:
quote:
The BC Citizens’ Assembly produced a proposal for electoral reform that — setting aside any consideration of the proposal’s specific merits — was supported by 57% of participating voters in a province-wide referendum, and by majorities in all but two of the province’s 79 electoral districts. This is a greater level of popular support than has been achieved by any previous electoral reform proposal at the federal or provincial level, of which we are aware.

Part of the reason for the popular success of the electoral model proposed by the Citizens’ Assembly is that it had been designed by a representative, randomly-selected group which nobody could accuse of being motivated by partisanship, a desire to protect any specific special interest or group of special interests, or by pressure to achieve elite accommodation at the expense of the general good.



Saying that 57% is a success was, in context, a bold statement that the 60% requirement was too high.
quote:
Originally posted by Stockholm:
There has been some speculation about the Liberals holding on to power even if the Tories got more seats in a minority situation. I think this could happen in a CPC 115/Libs 110/ BQ 60/NDP 30 type of scenario. But i think that if the Conservatives had a really clear advantage over the Liberals (ie: 135 to 95) Martin would really have no choice but to resign.

Why? There's no difference between your two scenarios. In both cases, Martin would have to resign if the Bloc votes him out, and not otherwise. Except in your second scenario the NDP could force Martin out even if the Bloc didn't, but unless they would do that, there's no difference.

Would the Bloc vote him straight out, the day the House opens? Perhaps. Perhaps not. The Conservatives are taking votes from the Bloc. Do they want to risk another "beau risque" phenomenon? Doubtful. What do you think, Simon?

But if Martin does resign, just remember Jack Layton's line: Stephen Harper's platform looks a lot like Paul Martin's record.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: Wilf Day ]


From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
davidt
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posted 07 January 2006 11:16 PM      Profile for davidt   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Reason:

Really, please feel free to post a link to the policy that shows this little peice of fiction.


http://www.cbc.ca/story/canadavotes2006/national/2006/01/06/taxes-tory060122.html

Hows that?

Not only do they want to raise taxes for the working poor but they also want to lower the basic exemption.

They plan to fund a significant part of their promises by getting the lower earners in our society to fund their ass backward policies.


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fast_twitch_neurons
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posted 07 January 2006 11:22 PM      Profile for fast_twitch_neurons     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
davidt, the conservatives have not even released their tax platform. How do you know they won't raise the personal exemption instead of lowering the lower rate? Would lower income earners not benefit more from a 2% cut to the GST than a 1% cut on 4000$ of their income (that's about 40 dollars a year).

There are more valid arguments to be made against the conservatives than what the CBC's dismal failure of journalism in that regard.


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davidt
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posted 07 January 2006 11:27 PM      Profile for davidt   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
The cons have two choices fantasticaly outspend both the NDP and the Liberals or keep this policy and fund the promises they make off the minimum wage earners of this country.

All signs are for the cons to make their distain for the poor even more than they do now (if that is possible).

I have always had a very very low opinion of the conservatives (not as low as my opinion of the Liberals) but this craven move to increase taxes on the poor surprised even me.


edited to add 2 words.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: davidt ]

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: davidt ]


From: hong kong | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 11:49 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by davidt:
The cons have two choices fantasticaly outspend both the NDP and the Liberals or keep this policy and fund the promises they make off the minimum wage earners of this country.

All signs are for the cons to make their distain for the poor even more than they do now (if that is possible).

I have always had a very very low opinion of the conservatives (not as low as my opinion of the Liberals) but this craven move to increase taxes on the poor surprised even me.


edited to add 2 words.

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: davidt ]

[ 07 January 2006: Message edited by: davidt ]


Cleraly you choose to ignore the parts about lowering overall taxes, and dropping 2% from the GST.

Secondly you ignore the fact that they are not raising taxes, but rather turning back the 1% reduction that the Liberals have recently offered, and is not even law yet. Second to this point, the cons have said that the reduction would hold for this year.

Please, feel free to read the post which you linked.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
arborman
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posted 07 January 2006 11:54 PM      Profile for arborman     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
The only good thing that would come of a Con Minority would be a total disintegration of the Liberal party - it could happen, but it seems unlikely right now. If we had a second election while they were in a leadership review, or if they picked a leader that was a total moron, it might happen. Otherwise, a Con government would be a placeholder while the Libs revitalized, then took over again for another decade or two.
From: I'm a solipsist - isn't everyone? | Registered: Aug 2003  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 07 January 2006 11:57 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by arborman:
The only good thing that would come of a Con Minority would be a total disintegration of the Liberal party - it could happen, but it seems unlikely right now. If we had a second election while they were in a leadership review, or if they picked a leader that was a total moron, it might happen. Otherwise, a Con government would be a placeholder while the Libs revitalized, then took over again for another decade or two.

The only chance for your dire prediction not to come true is if people actually vote for their party as opposed to voting against.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
davidt
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posted 08 January 2006 12:46 AM      Profile for davidt   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Reason:

Cleraly you choose to ignore the parts about lowering overall taxes, and dropping 2% from the GST.

Secondly you ignore the fact that they are not raising taxes, but rather turning back the 1% reduction that the Liberals have recently offered, and is not even law yet. Second to this point, the cons have said that the reduction would hold for this year.

Please, feel free to read the post which you linked.



What a deprssing series of weak and transparent excuses.

The fact is the working poor will pay less in taxes this year than next year if the poor hating cons get in.

quote:
Now, however, a policy spokesman with the Conservative campaign called back to say the party will be keeping the reduction only for the 2005 tax year should they assume office. We take him at his word on this. But it should also prove very interesting to see the first Stephen Harper budget attempt to raise the rate for the lowest income tax bracket back up to 16 from 15 per cent, and also lower the basic personal exemption at the same time.


http://www.cbc.ca/canadavotes/realitycheck/spendingtallies.html

The fact is the only party that has any plans to raise taxes is the conservative party and the only group the conservatives want to raise taxes on is the orking poor.
A repulsive position even for a conservative.

The most disgusting argument I have heard from harper on the subject is his claim that increased charity will be better for the working class rather than letting them keep the current rates of taxation on their meager earnings.

Harper flat out defends the need to lower business taxes at the expense of the poorest canadians.

http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Politics/CanadaVotes/TopPhoto/2006/01/07/1383329-cp.html

These tagetings of the weakest groups in Canada are what a person supports when they vote conservative. The Cons play the politics of division and this is just the latest example of a con policy that victimizes a group they view as weak and worthy of scorn.

The cons have to pay for a GST cut on BMWs and tax cuts for business and the billions of dollars this costs has to come from somewhere and the cons are going to get this money by raising taxes on the working poor.


From: hong kong | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
siren
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posted 08 January 2006 01:11 AM      Profile for siren     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by davidt:

The most disgusting argument I have heard from harper on the subject is his claim that increased charity will be better for the working class rather than letting them keep the current rates of taxation on their meager earnings.


If true -- a page right out of the Bush administration's play book. Reduce government, increase "the armies of compassion".

One of many problems -- Canadians are not as prone to donate to charity as Americans. Largely this is explained by noting that Canadians pay a higher wage in taxes than do Americans and so expect the government to look after social safety net items.

Until Canadians learn to contribute like Americans (so that little Stevie's ideology can be successful) -- could be a little tough on the working poor.

I read also that Stevie would reduce capital gains taxes for those who contribute stocks and bonds to charitable organizations. That one is just odd:

quote:
Harper said the Conservatives would remove the capital gains tax on listed stock donations to charity if they were elected Jan. 23. The measure should make it easier for people to support the charities of their choice, he said.

How much money is given to charities via stock donations?

(davidt -- could you reduce your url length, please?)


From: Of course we could have world peace! But where would be the profit in that? | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Privateer
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posted 08 January 2006 01:45 AM      Profile for Privateer     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
RE: total disintegration of the Liberal party

I can see a Saskatchewan PC kind of scenario. Considering what's come to the surface, what else is hiding and waiting to be revealed by a new government? Thirteen years of corruption resulting from absolute power (the believe that you are undefeatable). Goodbye, Liberal Party of Canada.


From: Haligonia | Registered: Dec 2002  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 08 January 2006 02:32 AM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by davidt:

http://www.cbc.ca/canadavotes/realitycheck/spendingtallies.html

The fact is the only party that has any plans to raise taxes is the conservative party and the only group the conservatives want to raise taxes on is the orking poor.
A repulsive position even for a conservative.

The most disgusting argument I have heard from harper on the subject is his claim that increased charity will be better for the working class rather than letting them keep the current rates of taxation on their meager earnings.

Harper flat out defends the need to lower business taxes at the expense of the poorest canadians.

http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Politics/CanadaVotes/TopPhoto/2006/01/07/1383329-cp.html

These tagetings of the weakest groups in Canada are what a person supports when they vote conservative. The Cons play the politics of division and this is just the latest example of a con policy that victimizes a group they view as weak and worthy of scorn.

The cons have to pay for a GST cut on BMWs and tax cuts for business and the billions of dollars this costs has to come from somewhere and the cons are going to get this money by raising taxes on the working poor.



I'll beleive it when I see it.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
siren
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posted 08 January 2006 02:38 AM      Profile for siren     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Posting to rid TAT of sidescroll.

Fark, am I the only one uncomfortable with margins blown from Bangkok to Vancouver?


From: Of course we could have world peace! But where would be the profit in that? | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
simonvallee
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posted 08 January 2006 02:51 AM      Profile for simonvallee   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Open-list MMP with, as recommended by the Law Commission, 2/3 local MPs and 1/3 regional list MPs will not weaken the link between Members of Parliament and their constituents if the regions are small, making regional open-list MPs locally accountable. The local ridings would be 50% larger than today: unmanageably large?

And what about the links between the regional MPs and their constituents? They'd represent regions of, what, about 10 present ridings? Don't worry, the Conservatives will not miss that and they will point it out as clearly as I do here. Plus MMP creates two classes of MPs, they may not have opposed it in their policy, but I'm pretty sure it'd pop up there if the issue came to be debated more by them.

quote:
Open lists will not strengthen the control of the party machinery over individual Members of Parliament, when the regions are small so that the regional list members are nominated by party members in the region, not part of a centrally-drawn-up list. In short, the current Quebec model, but with open lists, and with 33% regional MPs rather than 40%, would meet the Conservative criteria. In fact, nothing in the Conservative criteria rules out province-wide proportionality (German-style linked regions.)

I've spoken with a Conservative on open lists, he still said it was giving more power to the party. Don't ask me why, Conservative thinking makes my engineer's brain hurt. Believe me, any mention of list, open or closed, will be opposed by them, they see them as party lists imposed by the party. I know that you can argue that the candidates are also chosen by the party, but logic isn't a very Conservative trait.

Fact is, as it is, the Conservatives claim being open to electoral reform, but all their conditions eliminate quickly all proportional systems. Apparently, for them, the only thing they see as a problem in the present system is that some candidates are elected with less than a majority of the vote in their ridings.

quote:
Would the Bloc vote him straight out, the day the House opens? Perhaps. Perhaps not. The Conservatives are taking votes from the Bloc. Do they want to risk another "beau risque" phenomenon? Doubtful. What do you think, Simon?

If the Bloc thinks like the members I talked to, they hope to exploit the Conservatives' "decentralization" tendencies whilst keeping their right-wing agenda down in a minority government. I think the Bloc will try to do so, letting the Conservatives court their votes with tax transfer schemes, and voting down any legislation considered right-wing. The Bloc doesn't fear the Conservatives, and the polls I've seen are unclear on the origins of the new Conservative voters, I've seen polls, notably from SC, indicating for example a +7 boost for the Cons, but at the same time the Bloc gaining 1 point and the Libs losing 6 points.










quote:
Would lower income earners not benefit more from a 2% cut to the GST than a 1% cut on 4000$ of their income (that's about 40 dollars a year).

Estimating the impacts of a GST tax cut is hard. First, essential products (which should form most of the spending of low-income earners) are mostly not taxed. Second, the most GST they can pay is based on how much money after tax they pay (if they are taxed about 25% of their salaries, that mean that at most, it can be a tax reduction of 1,5% of their salaries). Third, there's the GST tax rebate that makes the situation even more confused, if you reduce the GST tax rebate at the same time as you reduce the GST, it may change nothing for the poorest. So I don't know which approach gives the most to low-income families for every buck spent on that reduction.

I'd like some fiscal experts to make budgets for some income levels and estimate the money saved in each case by the two propositions, see which is really better and the concrete effects on people's disposable income.


From: Boucherville, Québec | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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posted 08 January 2006 03:10 AM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by simonvallee:
any mention of list, open or closed, will be opposed by them, they see them as party lists imposed by the party.

That may well be true, although their conditions do not expressly say so.

In that case they would prefer the list-free "best runner-up" method of MMP used by the German state of Baden-Wurttemberg, which the Quebec Liberals were also considering using: in a region of five MNAs (three local, two regional) if a party won a regional seat, the person elected would be the local candidate who, not already elected locally, had the highest percentage of the vote, or perhaps the highest actual vote number. (Baden-Wurttemberg uses the actual vote number, rewarding a candidate who attracts a high turnout, but also rewarding a fast-growing constituency.) This is a favourite model of conservatives: Baden-Wurttemberg is a conservative state, and one of the Conservatives on our local Fair Vote Canada chapter executive is also a fan of the best runner-up model, because it guarantees no one can be elected without having won a local nomination. And it's a perfectly good system, except that women in Baden-Wurttemberg have as much difficulty as women in Canada getting past the "local gatekeepers."


From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 08 January 2006 03:17 AM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Getting rid of the Senate would mean we could easily afford 154 extra MPs to keep the ridings as they are, and add the MMP component. I'm sure taking out the desks in the Commons would give us extra room, but I don't know how much extra.
From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Fidel
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posted 08 January 2006 04:15 AM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Screaming Lord Byron:
I'm sure taking out the desks in the Commons would give us extra room, but I don't know how much extra.

They're not there half the time anyway. Too busy soaking up the sun in Florida and California. I doubt anyone would miss them.


From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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posted 08 January 2006 05:23 AM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Screaming Lord Byron:
Getting rid of the Senate would mean we could easily afford 154 extra MPs to keep the ridings as they are, and add the MMP component.

A very tempting thought, and it would be an excellent solution, but -- it will have to wait for a constitutional amendment, whereas we can introduce PR with no constitutional amendment needed.

From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 08 January 2006 02:04 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Wilf Day:

A very tempting thought, and it would be an excellent solution, but -- it will have to wait for a constitutional amendment, whereas we can introduce PR with no constitutional amendment needed.


This is true - and that is the sticking point. A final, as much as anything in Federal Politics can be final, resolution to the Houses of Parliament would have to include the future of the Senate, and the electoral system. Getting that amendment would certainly be difficult.

It may well have to be done in stages.


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
cratez05
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posted 08 January 2006 03:05 PM      Profile for cratez05     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Some good discussion so far. I should clarify a few things:

By "comfortable" I am referring to the fact that re-electing the Liberals would be a mockery of our supposedly democratic system. This is a party that has governed for 12 years and, dare I say, done quite well in terms of the economy, moderate social spending, and maintaing Canada's role as a peacekeeping nation.

But they've ultimately become mired in corruption and arrogance, as evidenced by the sponsorship scandal, Mike Klander's resignation, the Goodale inquiry, and Martin's assertion that this election is strictly between two parties (Libs and Cons).

As a union member and occasional campaigner for the NDP, I am well aware of Harper's NCC roots and neocon agenda. He is, without doubt, a wolf in sheep's clothing. And obviously, it would be preferable if Canadians saw this election as being between the Liberals and the NDP (with the Conservatives in third place). But they don't.

With that said, the Canadian electorate has yet to see what a Conservative minority government would do in a position of power in a Parliament with a stronger (maybe 20-30 seats) NDP presence. If the Cons were serious about hanging onto (minority) power, they would cooperate with opposition parties. If not, I'm sure Canadians would happily kick them out and re-elect the "natural governing party of Canada."

I guess my question is - and I know that it could potentially entail disaster - why not try this proposed situation out?

[ 08 January 2006: Message edited by: cratez05 ]


From: London, Ontario | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged
jeff house
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posted 08 January 2006 03:24 PM      Profile for jeff house     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
I guess my question is - and I know that it could potentially entail disaster - why not try this proposed situation out?

Because it potentially entails DISASTER!

It's true that the Liberals in power are corrupt. But the Tories in power in Ottawa were corrupt, and the Ontario Mike Harris Reformatories were corrupt.

there is nothing to distinguish the Liberals and the Conservatives on this point, except that the Conservatives don't have their hands on the levers of power to enact their drama upon us.

But they hate government. They want power only to pass money and favours on to their friends.


From: toronto | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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posted 08 January 2006 03:33 PM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by cratez05:
why not try this proposed situation out?

No harm talking to them after the election. Contrary to common belief, in 1985 the Ontario NDP negotiated with both the PCs and the Liberals, for weeks, before the Liberal-NDP Accord was signed. The PCs don't like to talk about it, but they almost outbid the Liberals. The final agreement, though, was with the Liberals, a detailed contract with a two-year term. So David Peterson became Premier, with fewer seats than the PCs, thanks to the Accord.

One can debate whether this was good long-term strategy for the NDP. If the NDP has known the Accord was going to make Peterson look so good he would win easily in 1987, maybe the NDP would have insisted on cabinet seats.

The point is, that's the process. The NDP's bargaining power was increased by having a second bidder. And it made no difference which of the two had the most seats.

quote:
Originally posted by jeff house:
there is nothing to distinguish the Liberals and the Conservatives on this point, except that the Conservatives don't have their hands on the levers of power to enact their drama upon us. But they hate government. They want power only to pass money and favours on to their friends.

As Jack Layton says, Stephen Harper's platform looks a lot like Paul Martin's record.

[ 08 January 2006: Message edited by: Wilf Day ]


From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 08 January 2006 03:44 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by jeff house:

Because it potentially entails DISASTER!

It's true that the Liberals in power are corrupt. But the Tories in power in Ottawa were corrupt, and the Ontario Mike Harris Reformatories were corrupt.

there is nothing to distinguish the Liberals and the Conservatives on this point, except that the Conservatives don't have their hands on the levers of power to enact their drama upon us.

But they hate government. They want power only to pass money and favours on to their friends.



It is because of this thinking that many NDPers will vote LIEberal. It is because of this that the NDP does not deserve to be a party.

Until you give chance a chance, and vote for your own damn party, please stay at the little kids table, thank you.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
cratez05
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posted 08 January 2006 03:59 PM      Profile for cratez05     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by jeff house:

Because it potentially entails DISASTER!

It's true that the Liberals in power are corrupt. But the Tories in power in Ottawa were corrupt, and the Ontario Mike Harris Reformatories were corrupt.

there is nothing to distinguish the Liberals and the Conservatives on this point, except that the Conservatives don't have their hands on the levers of power to enact their drama upon us.

But they hate government. They want power only to pass money and favours on to their friends.


Fair enough. If the Tories are indeed a corrupt extension of corporate Canada, let them expose themselves as being such. In the broader scheme of things, it will take Canadians trying out different governments before the NDP can ever become a serious contender for governing Canada (they are policy-wise, but the numbers currently aren't there).


From: London, Ontario | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 08 January 2006 04:11 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by cratez05:

Fair enough. If the Tories are indeed a corrupt extension of corporate Canada, let them expose themselves as being such. In the broader scheme of things, it will take Canadians trying out different governments before the NDP can ever become a serious contender for governing Canada (they are policy-wise, but the numbers currently aren't there).



Nor will they ever be there, becaus elike sheep, by the thousands they will vote LIEberal just to keep the Tories out. Heaven forbid the NDP actually get enough of a vote to actually make a difference.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
Andy (Andrew)
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posted 08 January 2006 06:59 PM      Profile for Andy (Andrew)   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Reason, why are you ok with voting for the CPC that wants to take away rights from others?
From: Alberta | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Thrasymachus
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posted 08 January 2006 07:46 PM      Profile for Thrasymachus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
A vote for the NDP is a vote for the NDP. If a vote for the party who finishes third or fourth in a given riding is really voting for the first place finisher, then I'm waiting for the Liberals to tell their supporters to vote NDP in Saskatchewan, Oshawa, Most of BC etc... Oh yeah, that's not gonna happen is it? Because strategic voting is not about keeping Tories out, it's about getting support for a party that doesn't deserve it.

[ 08 January 2006: Message edited by: Thrasymachus ]


From: South of Hull | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged
Reason
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posted 08 January 2006 08:10 PM      Profile for Reason   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Andy (Andrew):
Reason, why are you ok with voting for the CPC that wants to take away rights from others?


Feel free to go back and re-read my posts.


From: Ontario | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
Thrasymachus
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Babbler # 5747

posted 08 January 2006 08:30 PM      Profile for Thrasymachus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
The idea that the best way forward for the NDP is by way of a Conservative minority reminds me of the German Communist position in the 1930s - "first the Nazis then us". A few years later when they were cooling thier heels in camps I am sure that it didn't seem like such a good idea.
Not only is that comparisonway over the top and a bit insulting to those wwho suffered under Nazi terror, it's being drawn out of context. The German commie party under direction from Stalin felt that Nazism was the most extreme example of capitalism and that people would flock to their alternate totalitarian model if they were only given a taste of how bad Nazism is.

In short, the NDP in not endorsing strategic voting is not trying to get the Tories into power so that people will get the taste of capitalism that is required for us to seize power through revolutionary means. In fact, unlike the German commies the NDP is clearly opposed to the neo liberal agenda as presented by both the Liberals and the Conservatives.


From: South of Hull | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged
tostig
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posted 08 January 2006 08:43 PM      Profile for tostig     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
History has shown that minority governments turn into majority governments. The exception is Joe Clarks government because he decided to govern as if he had a majority.

If the NDP keeps the minority Conservatives in check, the Conservatives will survive to the following election with a favourable track record. Then they'll get a majority with possible expansion in Quebec, then watch out - it's the Reform platform.

If the Conservative get a minority, the NDP has to get a coalition with the Liberals. The Bloc remains the wildcard, the Liberal/NDP has to force the Conservatives to expose themselves in such a way the Bloc can't support them either.


From: Toronto | Registered: Jun 2005  |  IP: Logged
JKR
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Babbler # 7904

posted 08 January 2006 10:51 PM      Profile for JKR        Edit/Delete Post
quote:
History has shown that minority governments turn into majority governments.

If that were true then the Liberals will win a majority on the 23rd. But it's not true. There have been 10 minority governments in Canadian history. Only 3 became majority governments in the subsequent election. If the Liberals win a majority in this election then 4 of the 10 minority governments will have turned into majorities. If the Liberals don't win a majority then only 3 minority governments out of 10 will have become majority governments.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
Michael Tripper
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Babbler # 10103

posted 09 January 2006 12:03 AM      Profile for Michael Tripper        Edit/Delete Post
I was until today when the secret meetings with unelected religious bullies was declared disappeared by the Cons that I've had enough.
Social conservative loons who like deficits, hello Bush, this is the Con party...

LISTEN to the poster at the start who thinks the Cons election reformds are great consider this: would a 4-year permanent date mean we could not turf out a minority parliament? Keep the Cons in power longer than their expiration date? Perhaps.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Aug 2005  |  IP: Logged
Wilf Day
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Babbler # 3276

posted 09 January 2006 01:26 AM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Screaming Lord Byron:
154 extra MPs to keep the ridings as they are, and add the MMP component.

Maybe not 154 extra MPs, but some, says Stephen Harper. A change from Mike Harris and his Fewer Politicians Act. (Actually the Ontario PCs are also backing away from that.)

Harper has just told Canadian Press "We also feel that it is unfair that Canada's electoral system causes rapidly growing provinces like British Columbia to send fewer MPs to the House of Commons than is warranted by their populations and we would therefore seek to correct this problem while ensuring that no province sees its number of MPs decline."

That's not in Conservative Party policy. It means at least 20 more MPs: 5 in BC, 3 in Alberta, and 12 in Ontario. BC has been clamouring for more representation. In Ontario, this will please electoral reformers who want to add the compensatory (proportional) component of MPs without making local ridings too large, but I didn't realize we were a Conservative target audience.


From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
cratez05
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posted 10 January 2006 01:24 PM      Profile for cratez05     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
It appears as though I will now be eating my own words in the worst (and unintentional) way:

http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1136847012085&call_pageid=968332188492&col=968793972154&t=TS_Home

As I implied in my first post, we are genuinely doomed if the Conservatives form a majority. For a rough idea of what this type of government would implement, go here:

http://cupe.ca/www/electionupdates/The_Conservatives_St

and here:

http://cupe.ca/updir/ten_reasons_final3.pdf


From: London, Ontario | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged

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