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Author Topic: What are public goods?
Hinterland
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posted 25 February 2004 10:42 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The issue of "public goods" (in another thread) intrigues me. Traditional economics talks about breathable air and sign posts and lighthouses as public goods. Every traditional economic discussion about "public goods" uses these as examples, and then rushes to explain how the State's involvment in the delivery of these public goods is mostly wrong.

Has anyone ever thought of universal education or universal health as being a public good? I'm not talking about the delivery of these things; I'm talking about the state of them. Do you think "breathable air" is less of a public good than universal good health or universal education?

[ 25 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


From: Québec/Ontario | Registered: Apr 2003  |  IP: Logged
nonsuch
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posted 26 February 2004 01:46 AM      Profile for nonsuch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I assume that 'goods' in this context refers to property, as in 'goods and chattels', rather than 'good', as something moral, laudable or beneficial.
So, public goods are things that are owned by the citizenry at large. Obviously, such goods would have to be acquired and maintained by a government (trust, institution, board, crown corporation, or other publicly accountable agency).
Highways, signposts, lighthouses, parks, parliament buildings, dams, mailboxes, battleships, libraries - yes. But i don't see how breathable - or any other kind of - air gets into the discussion. Unless they've already started bottling it, air is not subject to ownership, public or private. Apart from the problem of counting it, no government has yet figured out how to regulate the movement of air across borders or verify its national status.

As for the education and health-care, yes, they have been considered as public goods, and also as the Public Good, by many thinkers and statesmen (and even some economists, i believe). Various attempts have been made to deliver both to all citizens. One of the most successful experiments was carried out in Canada in the 20th century.

[edited to add} Of course, without breathable air, everything else is moot.

[ 26 February 2004: Message edited by: nonesuch ]


From: coming and going | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Doug
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posted 26 February 2004 02:27 AM      Profile for Doug   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Here are a couple of definitions:
http://www.wordiq.com/cgi-bin/knowledge/lookup.cgi?title=Public_good

http://www.auburn.edu/~johnspm/gloss/public_goods.html

[ 26 February 2004: Message edited by: Doug ]


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Rufus Polson
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posted 26 February 2004 04:24 AM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by nonesuch:
I assume that 'goods' in this context refers to property, as in 'goods and chattels', rather than 'good', as something moral, laudable or beneficial.

Actually, your assumption isn't quite correct.
The term "good" here is actually the antonym of another odd economics concept called a "bad". It comes down to anything that you might somehow be able to assign a positive monetary value to, whether it's the kind of thing anyone can own or not. As in, I would be willing to spend money to ensure that there was clean air to breathe, therefore it is a "good". You would have to pay me money to get me to listen to country & western, therefore (for me anyway) it's a "bad".

Economics types are willing to call an awful lot of pretty abstract things "goods" because they tend to figure you ought to be able to assign a monetary value to almost anything.


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Catus
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posted 26 February 2004 06:21 AM      Profile for Catus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
You can assign a monetary value to everything. It is controlling the delivery and use that becomes problematic( such as breathable air and light).

Those goods which can be controlled or "owned" and do not simultaneously apply to all consumers (citizens in this case) are not public goods. This is not to say that you cannot make "private" goods into "public" goods, or vice versa, but that it may not be advantageous.

You can have Police forces that actively protect all citizens from violations by criminal elements. This is a Public Good. This does not exclude private firms from developing specialized guards. But the Specialized guard is not necessarilly more advantageous than the Public police force and they lack commonly held notions of legitmacy, resources,Mobility among the community at large, prevention of tertiary harms.

Conversely it is more advantageous for most goods to be produced privately for profit as proft has been shown time and time again to deliver the best goods to the proper place at the proper time.


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Michelle
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posted 26 February 2004 08:17 AM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Hinterland:
Has anyone ever thought of universal education or universal health as being a public good? I'm not talking about the delivery of these things; I'm talking about the state of them.

Not by the economic definition of "public good", no. The economic term "public good" is defined narrowly as something that, if you provide it for one person, there is little or no marginal cost to providing it for everyone or each additional person, and that it would not be possible to withhold from one person if you were to provide it for anyone else.

I forget what the term for this phenomenon in reverse is (it's been a while since my frosh economics course) but it does work in reverse as well - for instance, there are some costs that are impossible to incur for one person without incurring them for everyone. For instance, pollution - it is impossible for pollution to be a cost borne only by polluters - everyone bears it.

I think the problem here is that you're taking a technical term that economists use to describe one particular phenomenon, and you're assigning a value to it that was never intended. "Public good" is not meant to mean, "good things that everyone in the public should have" or "products and services that should be given to everyone in the public." It's a technical economic term that means something that you cannot provide for one person without providing for everyone, at little or no marginal cost for each additional person who receives the good.

So no, I do not believe health care is a "public good". Sure, the marginal cost probably gets smaller with each additional person covered (because up to a point you use many of the same capital assets to provide services to each additional person, like say a clinic, or a hospital), but each additional person who is covered by health care DOES incur a significant enough marginal cost that you can't really consider it a "public good" in economic terms.

Sure, universal health care is a good thing, and it's something that should be available to everyone in the public, but that's not what the term "public good" means.

[ 26 February 2004: Message edited by: Michelle ]


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 26 February 2004 08:41 AM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
You clearly paid close attention in your class Michelle.

Most people seem to be aware of the proposition that if something is a public good, it should be provided by the government. Problems arise when people go on to conclude that if something is currently provided by the govt, it must be a public good.

Edited to add: I think the term you were looking for is 'externalities'. They can be posiitive or negative.

If all the gains from an activity can't be captured by the person who pays for it, then too little of it would occur. A good example is education. We're all better off to some extent when someone goes to school, so there's a strong argument that students shouldn't have to pay the entire cost of education.

A negative externality would be something like pollution. Since the polluting firm doesn't have to pay the full cost of producing the polluting good, too much will be produced.

[ 26 February 2004: Message edited by: Oliver Cromwell ]


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Michelle
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posted 26 February 2004 09:03 AM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
You clearly paid close attention in your class Michelle.

It was the very first university course I took (at age 27) and I got 92% as my final mark!

I enjoyed it so much that I was going to major in it, but then I discovered that I would have had to take calculus. Not in this grade 10 math drop-out's lifetime. Besides, then I fell in love with philosophy.


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Loony Bin
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posted 26 February 2004 10:59 AM      Profile for Loony Bin   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
How does this concept of public goods relate to ideas of the Commons? I understand the commons to be goods or property (or more abstract things, I guess) that we all share and benefit from together.

I've heard people float the idea of the commons as an antidote to privatization and corporatization of even our most basic needs. In such a proposition, things like food production, waste management, and health care etc., are all considered a part of the commons, and thus managed or maintained by us all, in a collective sense...Education, clean air and water, and most likely anything else that each and every one of us requires, individually or collectively, would be a part of the commons, and somehow held in the public trust.


From: solitary confinement | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
FPTP
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posted 26 February 2004 11:09 AM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The Commons was a stretch of grass in England that was commonly used to grase cattle. Sometime around the time of Locke people perfected their breeding techniques creating bigger cows while at the same time people began "eclosing" the commons for their own private use. As a result the commons was ruined.

Locke gives a false account of this in his works (the Treatise?) claiming that it was everybody's unbrided use of the commons that led to its destruction.

Many people have used this example of the "Tragedy of the Commons" [http://dieoff.com/page95.htm] as an analogy to justify market mechanisms for dealing with environmental problems.

Obviously, there are flaws in the arguments.


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Stephen Gordon
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posted 26 February 2004 11:22 AM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Don't leave us hanging; tell us where the fault lies in the argument.

The problem is just exactly how all these resources are to be allocated. How would we determine how many loaves of bread get made, and who gets to eat them? Who gets to (or has to) become a doctor? And since resources are finite, who will be told that they can't have what they want?

Collective decision-making is hard to implement - if not impossible


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FPTP
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posted 26 February 2004 11:40 AM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Alas, I have a report to write, I'm only allowing myself to read the posts on babble (after this one).

I will say this:

The "Tragedy of the Commons" is a false analogy. It's not perfectly "wrong" but doesn't match reality. That's all. In that, it makes an extreme argument and doesn't look at the ambiguity. I mean, it only consideres explicit rules between people. It doesn't consider implicit or latent rules or social mores.

Consider public parks. There is exclusivity and there is public access. Making it exclusive (as is recomended by the tragedy of the commons argument (I'm sure you've read the article)), won't help things. Neither would allowing unregulated access.

Also, the policy of enclosure could cause the scarcity it was trying to avert. As it did in the original tragedy of the commons.

And cutting up the sky into "shares"? Now we're departing from reality and getting deep into fantasy.

Now, I must work. Cheers!


From: Lima | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
FPTP
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posted 26 February 2004 11:47 AM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:

Collective decision-making is hard to implement - if not impossible[/URL]

Sorry, I forgot one cryptic response: it is impossible to avoid collective decision-making. There's the rub for you Ayn Randians out there. Hard yes, but we've got to deal with it. Harding and Ayn give no solutions.

CAMPFIRE (a conservation scheme using the market - charge people to kill some animals so you can afford to save most) and schemes based on it, are interesting studies. Good, but to an extent. What happens when animals become worth more than humans living in villages nearby?

"No man is an islande" so when the day of environmental reckoning comes, "do not ask for whom the bell tolls, for it tolls for thee". With apoligies to Wolfe (whom I think wrote that).

Now, I've gone on damn it!


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Loony Bin
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posted 26 February 2004 11:51 AM      Profile for Loony Bin   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Well, what we have going on now is not exactly idyllic, is it? We have basically no decision-making at all, except for what goes on behind the closed doors of corporate board meetings, and in the anterooms of the parliament buildings...

I think the question of how many loaves of bread will be made is a red herring. How does that kind of thing get decided now? I don't know that reviving the commons necessarily means dismantling all of our existing infrastructure, but it does require an ideological shift. More than keeping all our resources in one central location and divying them up in a perfectly equitable way (which is, I'll admit, probably impossible), the commons, as I understand it in this context is about how we think about the resources available to us. Instead of thinking of them as the sole and private property of industry or a corporation etc., we think of them as OURS, and therefore have to take a different kind of responsibility for their harvest and use, disposal and maintenance.

It would likely mean taking some things out of the hands of private companies, or taking the 'private' out of the companies, maybe....


From: solitary confinement | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
Lard Tunderin' Jeezus
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posted 26 February 2004 12:29 PM      Profile for Lard Tunderin' Jeezus   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Collective decision-making is hard to implement - if not impossible

Yeah, that whole 'democracy' thing is such a bitch, ain't it?


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No Yards
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posted 26 February 2004 12:31 PM      Profile for No Yards   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Like I said in the other thread, if the economic definition of "public good" can be twisted to include a toilet in a shopping mall, then twisting it to include healthcare should not be considered unreasonable.

Additionally, an economic definition being used to somehow justify not declaring healthcare to be a "public good", while technically a valid argument, is not in the best interest of the public, as most real "public" would read "public good" as something different than what is trying to be presented here.

It's fine for economists to use the term when discussing one of their esoteric theories amoung themselves, but to then demand that the ordinary person has to accept that health care is not a "public good", and as such by definition open to (and maybe even required to be run by) private sector interests, to me is a trick worthy of people in the class of David Frum, and Stephen Harper!


From: Defending traditional marriage since June 28, 2005 | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
Hinterland
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posted 26 February 2004 12:53 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Collective decision-making is hard to implement - if not impossible

I'm surprised at this assertion, because it's patently false. Most of our real, day-to-day activities are governed by concensus, otherwise we'd be animals.

I brought up this topic because I think we're being sold a real pig-in-a-poke by a subset of economists and policy-makers who've clearly bought the Randite pseudo-philosophy that things such as value and morality can be objectively determined (...and 'lo and behold, money-grubbing is valuable and moral!). I never thought I'd live to see the day this philosophy (which is in fact arrested development) would be taken so seriously.


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Stephen Gordon
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posted 26 February 2004 01:08 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
LTJ and Hinterland: The point of the Impossibility Theorem is that there are many, many forms of democracy, and that none of them satisfy the minimal conditions for a coherent collective decision-making process. In particular, they are all subject to manipulation.

NY: I don't understand what you're so riled about. All I'm saying is that health care doesn't fit the definition of a public good, so you can't use the proposition I mentioned earlier as a justification for govt intervention. That doesn't mean that a case can't be made for govt intervention; you just need a different argument. One might be based on insurance: it's clear that a private system of health insurance will not cover everyone at a reasonable cost, so governments have an important and positive role to play. And I find arguments based on ensuring a minimal level of health care in rural areas to be equally convincing.


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Loony Bin
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posted 26 February 2004 01:09 PM      Profile for Loony Bin   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I watched the first half of The Corporation on TVO last night. I was kind of stunned by the horrors that corporations have wreaked on us all (not that they were suprises, or anything, but seeing them all together in that context was pretty shocking), but also at least a little inspired by the widescale recognition of these horrors that seems to be coming about lately.

We're starting, at least some of us, to realize that leaving all the resources and production of goods and provision of needed services up to the folks who only have profit on their minds is a Bad Idea. Though we've waited a frightfully long time to do anything about it, or even recognize the risks, it is possible that we will start to curtail the powers and resources available to corporations.

Thing is, we'll have to put that power and those resources somewhere...And why not into the commons so that the collective of society can make decisions regarding them that maximize the benefits to actual people (living human ones, not legal corporate ones), and minimize damage to the environment (which should also be thought of as part of the commons) etc?


From: solitary confinement | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
nonsuch
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posted 26 February 2004 03:06 PM      Profile for nonsuch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I didn't know 'public good' (without the all-important s) was a technical term. If it's from the language of economists, it will certainly include a generous portion of fantasy: they're not famous for walking among - let alone breaking bread with - the great unwashed.

That Corporation show is terrific - if almost terminally depressing. It's in 3 parts; two more Wednesdays at 10:00 pm. Repeated Sunday mornings at 10:00 am, starting this weekend.


From: coming and going | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 26 February 2004 03:16 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
For the umpteenth time, I'm forced to ask a babbler if s/he has ever met an economist.
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Sports Guy
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posted 26 February 2004 03:39 PM      Profile for Sports Guy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The scorn that is heaped on economists in this and other threads on babble is analgous to me falling down the stairs and yelling at a physicist because of gravity.

Just because an economist's definition of public good as it relates to medicare differs from your own understanding of the concept does not affect the public policy choice made by government's in the matter.


From: where the streets have no name | Registered: Mar 2003  |  IP: Logged
Loony Bin
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posted 26 February 2004 04:19 PM      Profile for Loony Bin   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
okay, so it's not the fault of any individual economist, and it's not even the fault of all the economists together, but somewhere along the line we started bowing down to the supreme power of The Economy and let all our other altars crumble. We can only thank finance managers, economists, stock brokers, and other corporate types for this long, but not slow progression towards placing a monetary value on everything we can and completely disregarding or exploiting everything else...(ahh, those externalities...)

And there's this slippery thing that money people do, where they dodge personal responsibility by emphasing the role of the market, or the decisions/interests of the stakeholders blah blah blah. I can't say that I've met or talked to an actual economist, but I've had plenty of dealings with people who trade in currencies and stocks, and with people whose livelihood is based on mergers and acquisitions and interest rates etc., and they have all, consistently, had a frighteningly skewed and abstract sense of the world.


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FPTP
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posted 26 February 2004 04:52 PM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Sports Guy:
[QB]The scorn that is heaped on economists in this and other threads on babble is analgous to me falling down the stairs and yelling at a physicist because of gravity.
QB]

This quote propelled me back. It's really a matter of gall, when you think about it. Are you really comparing the theory of gravity to a particular definition of a public good? The theory of gravity is how we explain a natural process we can observe. The definition of public or private is categorization. It is a decision based on precepts. Further "health care" is a pretty nebulous concept. What do we include in this definition? Certainly without public knowledge we cannot have effective health care.

Really, most real scientists have a greater sense of hubris.

This all started when said that technically health could be considered a public good. Oliver Cromwell comes along and says that his technical definition trumps mine because his is the economists' own "official" definition and they get to decide.

Also, he mentioned that for a good to be public it couldn't be excludable or rivalrous. I then argued that almost all goods could be excludable or rivalrous. So, it was a question of degree.
Security forces are often called public goods. Why not health?

And I believe my economics professors were economists.

So, health care is not the perfect archeype of a public good according to the most rigid definition accoring to certain economists. But nor is it a perfectly private good.

Pardon me if I don't observe your narrow definition of things. Even the WTO allows that health is public and the perogative of governments.


From: Lima | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Puetski Murder
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posted 26 February 2004 05:15 PM      Profile for Puetski Murder     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I don't usually agree with Oliver Cromwell's stance in the realm of political economy, but he makes a valid point here.

Collective action in the international scene is a seriously contentious issue. Moreso than at national and regional levels. The problem isn't of consensus, which can usually be achieved, but of free riding. That is, the consumption of an international public good without contributing to the cost of it. If everyone free rides, the consensus to collectively act collapses.

However, if everyone free rides and the consensus and collective action *isn't* weakened, this usually means that one actor is carrying everyone else. This actor is the hegemony, and their incentive and capabilities to produce far outweigh that of other countries. As well, several large states capable of superior production may co-operate with the hegemon in order to reap the benefits. This is what makes the hegemony stable.

At home, the problem of collective action and public goods also presents itself. For example, low voter turnout can be construed as a problem of apathy - that someone else will get out and vote and fix the problem.

Heck, a larger part of Catch 22 was based on the problem of acting collectively to deliver a public good. If no one fights the war, how can it be won?

There is a significant body of work dedicated to public goods and collective action, but I highly recommend Mancur Olson's The Logic of Collective Action. Especially for Hinterland who posed the original question.


From: Toronto | Registered: Feb 2003  |  IP: Logged
No Yards
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posted 26 February 2004 05:17 PM      Profile for No Yards   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Sports Guy:
The scorn that is heaped on economists in this and other threads on babble is analgous to me falling down the stairs and yelling at a physicist because of gravity.

Just because an economist's definition of public good as it relates to medicare differs from your own understanding of the concept does not affect the public policy choice made by government's in the matter.


Physist does not change the laws of the universe by making a arbitrary statement about them . . . they cannot make me twice as heavy by simply coming up with their own formula for gravity . . . an economist on the other hand plays a more direct part in their field of study.

An economist defines "public goods" so as to exclude the possibility of concerning ourselfs with other than monitary values.

No physist would ever tell me that falling is simply an issue of the laws of ravity and that my concern for injury is not a valid topic to discuss on the issue of falling . . . if they did, then I would consider them elitist as economists.

Which particle accelarator did economists use to discover the theory of "Public Goods" that says only their narrow definition of "public goods" get consideration for protection from coporate profiterring?

OC, I'm not so much pissed at you, but pissed at the blind adherence by some economists to a "theory" that is based more on "faith" or decree than science (I assume you are an economist, although I don't assume that you are one of those that refuse to look outside the world of the economists when making decisions on public and political issues.)

I'm pissed because it is a definition that pretends that there is no other value than monitary value.

I am pissed becuase it is often the case where only monitary value is considered a legitimate concern when talking about "public goods"/

I am pissed because economists seem to think that only their theories matter, and only their definitions are to be considered for use in a debate.

I am pissed because economists will look down on anyone who would consider the definition of "public goods" to be things that are actually good for the public.

It's like they are saying "oh sure, health is a good thing, but because we can theoritically make a profit from it, then it doesn't deserve to have a term applied to it that might be misconstrued as having value in more than simply monitary terms".

"Public Goods" should not be limited to simply an "economists" definition, it is unfair and offensive IMO.

Reality is very often defined by the language we use to describe it, and I refuse to allow economists to fuck with my reality


From: Defending traditional marriage since June 28, 2005 | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
weakling willy
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posted 26 February 2004 06:00 PM      Profile for weakling willy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The thing is, No Yards, I don't think the economics definition of PUblic goods has any hold on popular conceptions, so why worry? I mean, it seems to me that the concepts and explanations from economics that have a hold on the public imagination are other ones (like "supply and demand", or "government crowds out investment" or "welfare benefits reduce work incentive" or "higher minimum wages reduce employment"). And generally they have a more pernicious content than a narrow definition of public goods.
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Stephen Gordon
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posted 26 February 2004 06:10 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
FPTP: Please read my response to No Yards (posted at 1:08 AST) as well as Michelle's 8:17 post.

NY: Definitions are arbitrary. But once they're adopted for general usage, it gets confusing if someone decides to use the term in a different way. In the context of public economics, the term 'public good' has a very specific meaning, and using it in any other way is simply confusing. In other contexts - say, public security - it may mean something else. If that had been the case, I wouldn't have said anything.

And I don't understand the point about reducing everything to monetary value. Nothing I've said in this thread - or, for that matter, anything I've ever said on babble - could be interpreted in this way.


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Michelle
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posted 26 February 2004 07:47 PM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Okay, let me try to say this another way then.

You know the philosophical term, "beg the question"? To philosophers, that is a technical term that means a specific type of fallacy.

Now, in common English, the word "beg" and the word "question" has all sorts of meanings. So we could say, "Oh, beg the question could possibly mean a question asked by a panhandler! Or actually, I think beg the question means that I'm begging you to answer the question!"

So when the philosopher says, "No, actually, it's a technical term used to describe a certain type of argument," and the person says, "That's just because all you philosophers are right-wing nutjobs who think your philosophical theories are SCIENCE! I think you philosophers should start thinking of panhandlers when you talk about begging the question!" then I can see where the philosopher would see the whole conversation as an exercise in frustration.

"Public good" is a technical term in economics. It doesn't mean "good for the public". It doesn't mean "socialist principles of sharing". It doesn't mean "social services". I know that separately, "public" and "good" mean all sorts of things. But all it means in economic terms is a product or service that has little or no marginal cost for each additional person covered, and that cannot be provided for one without providing for all. Not cannot as in morally SHOULD not, but cannot as in, it is logistically impossible to exclude specific people from it.

Therefore, no, education and health care are not "public goods" as defined in economic terminology, not because economists are nasty people who work for the Cato Institute and who want to see your children starve and your grandmothers go without heart surgery, but because both have substantial marginal costs for each additional person, and while it is not PREFERABLE to exclude people from those services, we have seen that it is all too POSSIBLE.


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 27 February 2004 03:16 AM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I would say that health care and education are not "public goods". The term "public good" with the definition economists use has its uses, whether you buy into some of the economic theories those same economists often profess or not. And changing your definition just leads to confusion; for all I disagree with most of them about many things, economists don't go around telling me the term "proletariat" doesn't mean what I think. "Public good" is a term they invented (when it's not being used in a completely different sense with different grammar to mean "the good of the public") and so they get to say what it means.
If we want a term to mean something different, we should come up with our own term.

Now, health care, or some aspects of it (like insurance, as Mr. Cromwell mentioned), may be a borderline case of a natural monopoly. Certainly private provision seems to involve a lot of duplication and extra bureaucracy. It's my opinion that natural monopolies should be provided publicly--in the short term, strict regulation of private providers can work, but in the long term the private providers always manage to bribe their way out of the regulations.
And it's probably a case where positive externalities from everyone getting it (universal vaccination stopping epidemics, avoiding reservoirs among the poor of nasty things like tuberculosis, etc. etc.) make it sensible to override markets.

And it is quite simply a case where the value we place on human lives and wellness as a society with some kind of ethics and compassion exceeds a lot of individuals' ability to actually pay, so whether it's economically "sound" or not we should just be doing it--one of those things a society should find the money to do so as to set ourselves apart from brutes.

But none of those things make it a "public good" in the economic sense.


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Mandos
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posted 27 February 2004 11:23 AM      Profile for Mandos   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The discussion about Arrow's theorem seems to be mostly academic here. All it says is that we will never have a collective decision-making system that is always perfect. It basically follows from formal language theory: there are some problems that are not decidable within the formal system that Arrow has defined.

Well, duh. No one really expects a decision-making system to come up with perfect outcomes all the time. Nothing human comes up with perfect outcomes all the time. It says absolutely nothing about whether we can or should consider economic systems that are somewhat more democratic than what we have now.


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FPTP
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posted 27 February 2004 11:31 AM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
We also don't have a perfect and coherent theory explaining language and how it works. But it exists, nonetheless.

Collective decision-making, like any act involving living organisims, does not follow perfectly explicit rules or laws.

Any attempts to understand things like this using formal systems will fail.


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Mandos
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posted 27 February 2004 12:05 PM      Profile for Mandos   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I'm not sure I agree with your complete, categorial denunciation of the use of formal systems to describe human behaviour. It may be that interactions are too random and too complex to be able to predict every local interaction. But at the very least, it is possible to capture formally the limits and the parameters of the system. Arrow's theorem essentially makes the claim that it is impossible to provide a decision-making function that makes fair decisions for everyone all the time.

No matter how complex human interactions are, the theorem, if true, defines the limits of collective decision-making. Similarly, it is also possible to mathematically define the limits of many aspects of language, but that is another subject.

It is also not correct to rule out a coherent formal theory of complexity in the future, or the hypothetical future discovery that randomness really isn't.


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Hinterland
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posted 27 February 2004 12:10 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Does it follow then that "Collective decision-making is hard to implement - if not impossible" is a valid statement? It was made, after all, by someone who is fairly versed in this theorem.
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FPTP
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posted 27 February 2004 12:12 PM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Well, this is going beyond my ability to prove definitely. But, it seems intuitive that rules of behaviour (again look at language studies or analysis of consciousness) will always retain elements that are beyond out grasp to explain or predict fully. Like language rules.

This isn't a good answer I know, but I'm a novice in these fields. This is just where I lie on the debate.


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Mandos
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posted 27 February 2004 12:23 PM      Profile for Mandos   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hinterland: It is a statement with some variables left unbound that could have be valid if he were to bind them. I seriously doubt that Oliver was claiming that collective decision-making does not exist, since obviously it does. Collective decision-making that perfectly satisifies Arrow's (presumably desirable) is impossible, though, if Arrow is correct. So Oliver ought to have qualified his statement with "perfect".

FPTP: I'm directly in the business of language rules (a computational linguist), and I daresay that if you expect a formal system to provide perfect predictability in all local instances, then probably you will be unsatisfied. I would not go so far as to declare it totally Impossible (a heavy declaration for anything), but I'm inclined to think that it is unlikely.

Nevertheless, I believe formal systems can and have captured important and essential parts of language, and will continue to do so.


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Stephen Gordon
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posted 27 February 2004 12:37 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
My original post said it was complicated, if not impossible. Clearly, collective decision-making goes on all the time - using mechanisms that are subject to manipulation.

As for Hinterland's question about the validity of the Arrow Impossibility theorem, finding new ways of proving it seems to have become a minor art form. Google in proof Arrow impossibility theorem and you'll get quite a few demonstrations.


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Hinterland
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posted 27 February 2004 12:51 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I didn't question the validity of the theorem, Oliver, just the statement you made which implied that collective decision-making might be in fact futile (you didn't say that, I know, but that was the implication). I think Mandos has explained it in a way (addressing the perfection or predictability of success for collective decision-making) that's more meaningful.
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Puetski Murder
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posted 27 February 2004 02:39 PM      Profile for Puetski Murder     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
According to Mancur Olson (props to him, rest in peace), collective decision making was easy in small, homogeneous groups and difficult in large, heterogeneous ones. Intuitively, that makes a lot of sense. He proved it though, using game theory I think.
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Loony Bin
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posted 27 February 2004 02:50 PM      Profile for Loony Bin   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Lots of things are impossible when you're talking about them in abstracts and absolutes. In real practice, we make allowances for the parts of the theories that are "unbound" or variable, or just basically work around them.

If we really think about it, democracy is impossible too, but we go with the flow, and make it work as well as it possibly can--or that was the idea, anyways.

I think that at some point in the future (hopefully not too distant future, that is), we're gonna have to amend our current system to allow for more input from the masses, and to give people more direct control over the decisions made regarding those things that we all have a stake in, like healthcare, education, the environment, and limited resources.

It has to change, or we'll all go down at the feet of the Megacorp and the megacorrupt government that spoon-feeds it.

Perhaps this means developing a way of thinking about the public goods more in the way that those of us here who are not economists naturally imagine them, and having it mean something to everyone...


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Rufus Polson
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posted 27 February 2004 03:40 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
My original post said it was complicated, if not impossible. Clearly, collective decision-making goes on all the time - using mechanisms that are subject to manipulation.

Well, OK, fair enough. Given those caveats, though--markets are complicated, if not impossible.


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Stephen Gordon
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posted 27 February 2004 03:46 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yes, indeed. Markets are just another allocation mechanism and they're vulnerable to the impossibility theorem, too.

But at least there are fewer meetings...


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Hinterland
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posted 27 February 2004 03:52 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
There...right there Oliver. I see you rolling your eyes and implying that concensus and collective action necessarily involve a lot of wasted time. That says a lot.

[ 27 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


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FPTP
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posted 27 February 2004 03:56 PM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
Yes, indeed. Markets are just another allocation mechanism and they're vulnerable to the impossibility theorem, too.

But at least there are fewer meetings...


Or so it is assumed. I don't see how the number of meetings is reduced. Perhaps the amount of input. In practice, "free markets" require a considerable amount of bureaucracy and governance...from massive corporations, to government regulation, to the WTO, to exhibitions of force (from security to wars). I could envision a small scale syndicalist-anarchist system that requires less "meetings". The size of government is reduced when you move from a communist to capitalist system, but not necessarily the systems that control.

The Market is just a superficial metaphor.


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Sports Guy
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posted 27 February 2004 04:02 PM      Profile for Sports Guy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 

From: where the streets have no name | Registered: Mar 2003  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 27 February 2004 04:15 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Meanwhile, as to the original "tragedy of the commons", not only is it not really true in the sense that is typically taken, near as I can make out it wasn't intended to mean what most free marketers would wish to take it to mean.

The original "tragedy of the commons" article describes a situation of completely unrestricted, unregulated access to a (slowly regrowing) resource. It posits individual, completely independent decision-making and little thought for the future (or, thought for the future being overridden by the fear that the other independent decision-makers will themselves ignore the future). It points out that this can't work, it will lead to the resource getting eradicated. Which is true enough, but doesn't happen to describe historical commonses very well at all. In fact, it better describes situations in which outsiders manage to gain relatively unrestricted access to what was a restricted community property.
For instance, it describes very well fisheries that did fine as long as they were largely restricted to fishers from a particular small region, but then became overfished leading to a crash in fish stock when outside capitalist large-scale fish harvesters came in.

Traditional commons in fact tended to restrict use of the resource, formally to only those within the community, and also formally, informally or both setting limits on how much each user should exploit the resource. Given that, the devil-take-the-hindmost ethic that would come from independent decisions and fear that the others would take it all first was avoided through community decision-making and some thought for the future.

So, Hardin's "tragedy of the commons" is an effective analysis of what it's analyzing. It just happens that what it's analyzing resembles an unrestricted capitalist resource-grab scenario more than a historical commons. One might better call it "the tragedy of deregulation".


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FPTP
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posted 27 February 2004 04:26 PM      Profile for FPTP        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Sports Guy:

Is this not so? Do you believe the free market is a good metaphor for how we interact?

Take Raegan for example. He liberalized markets. But at the same time, he allowed for greater monopolies. So, in effect while claiming to free trade, he made it more restrictive.

Or, take what happened after communism fell in Russia or Yugoslavia. I wouldn't say "freedom" has increased.


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Sports Guy
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posted 27 February 2004 04:31 PM      Profile for Sports Guy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I gave you the old rolly eye because Oliver made a joke and you responded with a dissertation. I never said the market was a metaphor the market is the market.
From: where the streets have no name | Registered: Mar 2003  |  IP: Logged
Briguy
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posted 27 February 2004 05:49 PM      Profile for Briguy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Someone mentioned babblers 'vitriol' towards economists. Babblers (at least those babblers I agree with ) don't hurl vitriol towards all economists, just those who work for the World Bank and the IMF, or those who agree with the policies of the WB and the IMF. Decades of increased poverty and human misery in Latin America and SE Asia pretty much shows that the policies of the WB and the IMF are destructive. Despite the time that the WB and IMF experiments have being going for, and their failures, there are a surprising number of economists who still cling to theories which support the policies of those institutions. Economists who support these policies are dogmatic in their belief of certain economic 'truths'. They ignore the real harm that these truths do to real people (and lots of real people, at that).

I'm not saying that any of the self-identified economists here are in that camp. But, in general, babblers' knee-jerk distrust of economists (especially dogmatic capital economists) is well-earned. On they other hand, there are many economists who do good work (working for CIDA and such organisations) who babblers tend to respect.


From: No one is arguing that we should run the space program based on Physics 101. | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 27 February 2004 08:10 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hinterland, my last sentence was supposed to be a joke. It was a Friday afternoon, and I was killing time before the department's reception (free beer!) before March break.

I was going to apologise, but now I don't think I will. If you really think that collective decision-making is an important issue, why weren't you aware of the most well-known result in the social choice literature?


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Hinterland
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posted 27 February 2004 08:31 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I was just getting on your case. What thing are you referring to that I'm not aware of? Arrow's theorem? Sorry, not my background. I think a lot of people who support concensus and collective decision-making might not be aware of it either. Though doubtless none you would take seriously, I suppose.
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Stephen Gordon
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posted 27 February 2004 08:38 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Well, why isn't it your background? I decided to spend my career learning about these issues. How much time have you spent on them? And if you can't be bothered to do the reading, why dump on those of us who have done our homework?
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nonsuch
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posted 27 February 2004 08:42 PM      Profile for nonsuch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yo.
I'm one of those ignorant laypersons who admit to skepticism, distrust, even occasional hostility - but not vitriol.

The biggest problem with the theory and language of economics is money. You can't base a science on a substance that does not exist in nature: every value attached to such a substance is necessarily arbitrary, transient and subject to manipulation.
You can have valid economic theories, observations and predictions based on trading relations, population density, natural resources, comparative power... probably a bunch of other factors. If it were stated clearly, and didn't ignore too many real-life factors i know about, i would respect such a theory.
Once a $ value is introduced, we're looking at an artificial construct: any resulting equation will be screwy.

I'm not saying that economists ought not to have their own dialect to communicate among themselves. Specialists in every field do. But, if you had a kidney tumour, i'd try my best to explain what the cells are doing, how and why, in plain English, rather than rabbit on about renal oncology. Specialists are entitled to their own private language, but they need to be bilingual when meeting the general public... especially when trying to sell them a policy that affects every aspect of their lives.


From: coming and going | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 27 February 2004 10:58 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Economics does *not* reduce everything to money; economics is about resource allocation. But sometimes, people are willing to trade goods and services for money, and one of our jobs is to try to understand why.

But I heartily agree about trying to make our points in standard English, even though (to borrow Krugman's line) when it comes to economics, math is my first language. My quibble about the proper use of the term 'public good' would be akin to the reaction that a medical professional might have if, during a discussion about a lump on my kidney, I insisted on using the term 'renal oncology' as a synonym for urine.


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redshift
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posted 28 February 2004 04:29 AM      Profile for redshift     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
proft has been shown time and time again to deliver the best goods to the proper place at the proper time.[/QB]

friend Catus using subjective value in evaluating public worth, I believe. the best goods from GM food to land mines, delivered on everything from solid golden dinnerware to broken bleeding children.
and thus a narrow parochialism denies the broader public responsibility.


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Stephen Gordon
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posted 28 February 2004 02:29 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
In a previous thread, Catus said that he wasn't an economist. I would never have said that.
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Jingles
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posted 28 February 2004 03:28 PM      Profile for Jingles     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I find it fascinating that economists, right-wingers and even some left-wingers have such a limited historical view of economics or of social organization. It's as if all human interactions began with the industrial revolution and Locke and Hobbes and ends with Marx, Rand, or Keynes.

Have those economists or theorists considered the previous ~100,000 years of humanity on earth? Hell, what about the pre-contact Americas, where collective descision making, property in common and large bureaucratic structures governing populations in the multi-million were in place for thousands of years before Europeans climbed out of their disease-infested civilizations to destroy it all.

I'm asking, do you know of any? I'd certainly like to read about it. And I'd certainly like to see the free-marketeers, property rights, and greed-is-god believers explain how these societies managed to exist without the self-evident truths of market capitalism.

I'm just sayin', is all...


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Hinterland
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posted 28 February 2004 06:38 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
Well, why isn't it your background? I decided to spend my career learning about these issues. How much time have you spent on them? And if you can't be bothered to do the reading, why dump on those of us who have done our homework?

And you're a professor, right? You might have slogged through a lot of crap to get where you are, Oliver and I appreciate that. But a teacher, you are not.


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Catus
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posted 28 February 2004 07:14 PM      Profile for Catus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The quotation posted above was merely Mises, Hayek, Friedman and other's statements about the wonders of the free-market boiled down to a short succint paragraph. But I am not an economist. I merely read their works with great interest.
From: Between 234 and 149 BCE | Registered: Nov 2003  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 28 February 2004 10:19 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hinterland: It has been my policy here to presume that babblers are my colleagues, not my students. If I thought that a colleague was unaware of a branch of the literature that s/he might find relevant for their own work, I would try to give a brief summary as well as some technical references. Anything more might be considered patronising; my colleagues can read for themselves.

That's what I've done in this thread. If you would prefer that I adopt a more professorial tone for this particular topic, I would be happy to oblige. More than happy, in fact; I believe that social choice theory is an enormously important field. And I think babblers who are interested in collective decision-making should be acquainted with the most important result in this literature. My own suggestion would be to start a new thread on this topic, initiated by a brief lecture. Let me know if you think that this would be worthwhile.

Catus: In order for markets to provide optimal outcomes, certain conditions have to be met. These conditions may be satisfied in many, or even in most cases, but not always. If you want to learn more, do a google search on "first welfare theorem".


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Puetski Murder
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posted 28 February 2004 10:33 PM      Profile for Puetski Murder     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
No professional tones! Just us folks shootin' the breeze!

I think a lot of us ride around on our huffy bikes when it comes to economics in politics, because mathematical representations can turn a cold shoulder to the human side of superior resource allocation. I find this objection reasonable because the dominant economic institutions of our day have made some grievous errors. However, I also find it objectionable to paint the whole field with one brush. That isn't fair either.

Mancur Olson, who I keep mentioning, has a markedly different conception of collective action and public goods than say the IMF. There is divergent thought within economics, like in any social science.

Back to public goods: they can be characterized by their jointness in supply (if one actor receives some, so does the whole group) and non-exclusiveness (no one can be left out). This is one of many official definitions.


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Hinterland
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posted 28 February 2004 10:50 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Oliver, being in a teaching relationship with adults does not preclude collegiality. My problem with you has been that you have brought up esoteric concepts without much explanation or clarification and I have taken exception to that on many occasion. I have not gotten the impression that you are interested so much in people here having any kind of understanding of the fundamentals of economics, as you are interested in pointing out that such fundamentals are beyond the understanding of people who do not have your specific expertise.

Having said that, if you think there's a way for non-experts to share in the knowledge you've taken great pains to acquire, starting a thread on any topic you think is important is a good idea.

Edited to add: No wonder you hate John Ralston Saul.

[ 28 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


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No Yards
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posted 28 February 2004 11:00 PM      Profile for No Yards   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So how many "definitions" do economists have between "Public Goods" and whatever it is that is the opposite of "Public Goods"?
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Hinterland
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posted 28 February 2004 11:13 PM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
There isn't supposed to be an opposite of "public goods" (..other than 'private goods') Goods are goods, and they are value-neutral, so they say.

[ 28 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


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redshift
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posted 29 February 2004 12:17 AM      Profile for redshift     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
public goods are the equity upon which social capital generates societal values and growth. as monetary capitalism parasitically reevaluates and reallocates assets, social capital is converted to financial asset through electronic manipulation. then ironically it is closely monitored until it is lost.instead of financial transaction supporting social good , the opposite is institutionally enforced for economic fascists.and public goods are looted, exploited and lost.
public goods are an organic legacy that survives only with our interest.

From: cranbrook,bc | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Hinterland
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posted 29 February 2004 12:22 AM      Profile for Hinterland        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Deleted hissy comment.

[ 29 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


From: Québec/Ontario | Registered: Apr 2003  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 02 March 2004 03:21 AM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
Catus: In order for markets to provide optimal outcomes, certain conditions have to be met. These conditions may be satisfied in many, or even in most cases, but not always. If you want to learn more, do a google search on "first welfare theorem".

Uh, formally speaking it's my understanding that these conditions aren't satisfied in *any* real-world cases.
Is it not the case that the math for optimal market outcomes requires conditions including:
-Perfect information
-Costless transactions
-Diminishing returns to scale
-An infinite number of firms, none large enough to have an impact on price-setting
-The nonexistence of a future with uncertainty
-"Rational Economic Man"


As I understand it, all notions that markets might provide near-optimal outcomes in the real world hinge on assuming that things still work more or less "as if" all these things were true. However, some economists have worked on math assuming falsity for one or more of these assumptions and found that, for instance for situations with an uncertain future, the math doesn't let markets clear. And furthermore, that in the absence of perfect adherence to the conditions, they can't prove that getting closer brings markets closer to clearing.

Given that, seems to me that there's need for economic theories based on something other than platonic ideals.


From: Caithnard College | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 02 March 2004 10:12 AM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I don't have much time, so just a couple of brief comments on that last point. It deserves more, so once again, I apologise if it looks as though I'm being dismissive.

1) If the market imperfections aren't too severe, then the govt can simply correct them using the appropriate regulations: quality standards, labelling, anti-trust legislation, etc.

2) Markets imperfections mean that market allocations will not be the best; they do not imply that they are the worst.

3) In order to obtain the ideal allocation, we'd need to know *everything* about the economy: every individual's preferences, and every firm's technology. If someone, somewhere makes a mistake - there is such a thing as government imperfections - then we may well end up with something worse than the market.


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No Yards
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posted 02 March 2004 10:45 AM      Profile for No Yards   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Hinterland:
There isn't supposed to be an opposite of "public goods" (..other than 'private goods') Goods are goods, and they are value-neutral, so they say.

[ 28 February 2004: Message edited by: Hinterland ]


Then why define something as a "public" good in the first place? Why not just define "goods" and leave it as that?

To me, this is one of those "economists tricks", such as always trying to use GDP (almost to the exclusion of any other factor) as the measusre by which we rate a countries economic success.

How economists can be taken seriously is beyond me . . . even comparing them to your average weatherperson puts the weatherperson in a good light (a weatherperson might make wrong predictions, but at least there's a good chance that most weatherpersons have predicted the same weather based on the same scientific data . . . economists can take the same data and come up with wildly differing predictions, all of which will likely turn out wrong.)

At least a weatherperson doesn't play stupid games . . . a weather person doesn't look between the falling raindrops and try to tell us that his predictions of "no rain" is 80% correct, where an economists will look at the current economy, and seeing that the while the GDP is raising but less and less people are being employed, and the gap between rich and poor is expanding rapidly, will try to tell us that their prediction of an improving economy was "bang on".

I suppose we need to have people TRYING to be economists, in the hope that some day they might come up with a valid science that can accuratly describe and predict the economy (much like we need people to continue to try and predict and describe volcanoes and earthquakes,) but we shouldn't put much credibility in their "science", in it's current state.


From: Defending traditional marriage since June 28, 2005 | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 02 March 2004 08:12 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Oliver Cromwell:
I apologise if it looks as though I'm being dismissive.

No, not at all.

quote:
1) If the market imperfections aren't too severe, then the govt can simply correct them using the appropriate regulations: quality standards, labelling, anti-trust legislation, etc.

Well, some of them. It's hard to correct a lack of diminishing returns to scale without mandating a return to craft-based production instead of industrial production . . .
As a practical matter, if the markets involved are *capitalist* (not a given, although it's often treated that way--you can have markets and firms without capitalist ownership of the means of production), then the owners seem over time inevitably to erode any such government tendency.

quote:
2) Markets imperfections mean that market allocations will not be the best; they do not imply that they are the worst.

Quite true. But what they mean is that we *don't know* what kind of allocations might be best. And we don't know in part because most economists are not interested in finding out--rather, they treat the counterfactual assumptions of efficient market theory *as if* they were true, and conclude that markets are the best possible thing, ruling all other possibilities out of bounds. Not only that, the distinct tendency is to rule all possible alternatives to *markets with capitalist ownership* out of bounds based on efficient market theories, even though those theories say nothing about capitalist ownership.

quote:
3) In order to obtain the ideal allocation, we'd need to know *everything* about the economy: every individual's preferences, and every firm's technology. If someone, somewhere makes a mistake - there is such a thing as government imperfections - then we may well end up with something worse than the market.

Well, first, there are more alternatives than central planning and markets. Michael Albert's Participatory Economics is an example. There have been others in the past, although not always good ones (e.g. feudalism). There are informal alternatives in the present, although generally mixed with markets.
But again, the key here is that we *don't know* if an imperfect example of something else would be worse than an imperfect market, because the only math we've really got going only applies to hypothetical perfect markets. Why this should be any more useful in forming opinions about what should be done in the real, imperfect world than theories about hypothetical perfect command economies or hypothetical perfect volunteer economies or hypothetical perfect manna-from-heaven economies escapes me. All are equally hypothetical.

Wouldn't it be reasonable to at least try to put together some math that applies to
-different kinds of economies of scale (given that economies of scale seem to vary from sector to sector)
-humans resembling in their economic attributes the kind that psychological experiments suggest really exist
-a world with a future
And which doesn't just work from assumptions of markets, especially pure markets? I realize it would be revoltingly complicated math, but we've got computers now, and we've got revoltingly complicated math. There's no need to stick to the level of simplified abstraction used in the nineteenth century. Except perhaps, in the opinion of a lot of left-wingers, for needs which have nothing to do with scientific inquiry but rather with political expediency. Not that economists are conspiring agin' us, just that it seems their consent is manufactured in ways similar to the media. When they start talking unorthodox, they're generally sidelined.

In the vast world of economics I'm sure there's been some attempt to come up with analyses of such situations. But it's marginal, and has had little or no impact on the main stream of economics as it impacts advice given to governments, prescriptions published in business and editorial pages of newspapers, and so forth.


From: Caithnard College | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 02 March 2004 10:39 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Economists are *extremely* interested in find out what allocations are best - that's pretty much our goal. The reason why you keep running into the standard market-is-best story is that it's the easiest one to explain, and it's not a bad approximation for what goes on in many markets.

But that is by no means the end of the story. The whole field of industrial organisation is devoted to dealing with non-competitive and/or strategic behaviour, and regulatory economics aims at finding ways to obtain optimal outcomes in cases where things like increasing returns play havoc with the standard model.

I can only assure you that all of the points you raise are being dealt with - albeit with varying degrees of success.

- Unless you want to limit yourself to static models with no uncertainty, the math that is involved in modelling heterogeneous agents - either households or firms - is indeed revoltingly complicated. We've made great strides in using numerical methods in the last decade or so, but we're still a long ways away from dealing with this issue with any degree of confidence.

- Some work is being done to try to incorporate the insights from psychology, but the fit is sometimes hard to make. But some things like disappointment aversion are a by now standard feature of the literature.

- We've learned a lot about forward looking models in which tradeoffs between current and future benefits are explicitly taken into account. Unless there are very good reasons for doing so (e.g., if the math is just too hard), almost any serious work in economics is based on a dynamic model.


It is true that very little of this shows up in the mainstream media. But that's mainly because so many of the results are tentative, and no responsible economist would present them to a general audience.

But economists themselves are extremely open to new ideas, or even re-interpretations of old ideas - if the idea can be argued in rigourous terms. My favourite example comes from growth theory. In the standard growth model, technical innovation has only positive effects. But hidden in the mists of the history of economic thought was Joseph Schumpeter's 'creative destruction' idea: the arrival of new technologies destroys existing industries as well as creating new ones. The net effect may be positive - or maybe not. As such, the idea really wasn't of much use as a theory, since it provided no way of providing conditions for when technical innovation would have a positive effect or not.

But in the late 1980's Philip Aghion and Peter Howitt (a Canadian, BTW) developed a rigourously-argued mathematical model that incorporated Schumpeter's ideas. It explained exactly how and in what conditions the arrival of a new technology will not be welfare-enhancing. An extremely unorthodox result. Was it sidelined? No, it was published as the lead article in Econometrica (the leading journal in economics), and it was followed up with a flurry of activity. It is now a standard reference.

So unorthodox ideas will not get you sidelined. But not knowing math will.


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