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Author Topic: Is Consensus on Science possible on Babble?
Zatamon
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Babbler # 1394

posted 11 August 2002 01:40 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I decided to keep changing the first post according to feedback I get, as consensus is being built, but change the second post to what the original first post was, so anyone can see what has been changed since.

So here comes the current (updated) version:

1./ Nature. By definition (mine) everything that we can observe and/or be aware of is part of Nature. In this sense there can not be such a thing as ‘unnatural’ phenomena. The observed phenomena can be easily reproducible or intermittent, happening randomly, in an unpredictable way. If a phenomenon is not reproducible on demand, then we have to depend on eye-witness accounts. Frequency and consistency of these accounts on one hand, judgment of reliability of eye-witnesses on the other, give higher or lower weight to our assumption that the reported phenomenon exists.

2./ Science is a human tool invented to help us investigate nature. It is best defined by the ‘Scientific Method’ (described by The Random House) as: “a method of research in which a problem is identified, relevant data are gathered, a hypothesis is formulated from these data and the hypothesis is empirically tested”. Its essence is ‘empirically tested’. Without this crucial element, it is not science.

3./ The six steps of science are :

a./ Observation (experiencing, sensing, measuring, interviewing/evaluating eye-witnesses)

b./ Organization (describing, categorizing, statistical analysis, identifying pattern)

c./ Hypothesis (or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge.)

d./ Predictions (drawing logical and mathematical conclusions from our hypothesis )

e./ Testing (empirical verification of both the hypothesis and the predictions of hypothesis)

f./ Confirmation/Rejection of hypothesis, always allowing for possibility of error.

4./ There is a non-zero probability that there are parts of nature science may never be able to explain because both experiments and testability are beyond conceivable human resources (e.g. Big Bang, colliding galaxies, superstrings, etc.). Scientific explanation means the creation of an empirically testable hypothesis, or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge. However, hypothesis that cannot be tested empirically is, however minutely, grounded within previously observed phenomena. Also, from some untestable hypothesis it may be possible to draw logical/mathematical predictions that do fall into the scientifically testable domain.

5./ There is a non-zero probability that unusual (or para-normal) phenomena exists that appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of, our accumulated body of scientific knowledge. This phenomena (depending on its nature) have been called ‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, ‘telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’, etc. However, plausible descriptions can be made and knowledge may in the future progress to a point where an "unusual phenomenon" can be explained within the scientific method.

6./ If we assume 5./ to be true and there is no immediately available scientific tool to study these phenomena (most of them not necessarily reproducible on demand), then we may wait and see if one becomes available at a later time, or we may decide to use methods currently considered non-scientific to experiment and try to form a hypothesis.

7./ Dismissing the possibility for 4./ and 5./ and 6./ can unnecessarily limit humanity in our experiencing and understanding Nature and, as a consequence, unnecessarily reduce our tools for both survival and enjoyment of our existence.

8./ Attacking those who assume 4./ and 5./ to be true and seriously consider or practice 6./, is an unfair discrimination against, and abuse of, human beings, some of whom can be imaginative, creative, open minded individuals with full recognition of the value of science.

9./ There are, and have been, deplorable examples of sensationalism, charlatanism and fraud regarding both scientific and para-normal phenomenon. Some of it was innocent, much of it was deliberate attempt to take advantage of the easily credulous.

10./ Great care and critical thinking is required to differentiate between the rational approach to the para-normal, from the irrational, unjustified, fraudulent

11./ Science and 'para-normal investigation' (as suggested in 6./) are not 'either-or'. Unless we are dogmatic about our 'only true method', they can happily coexist, without hurting each other. Both methods can be used to study both groups of phenomena and both can fail or be successful in their endeavor.

[ August 14, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 03:11 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I decided to keep changing the first post according to feedback I get, as consensus is being built, but change the second post to what the original first post was, so anyone can see what has been changed since.

So here comes the original first post:

Clockwork asked me for a summary of my views on which I would like to reach consensus, before moving on. Here it is in a point form for easy reference. I tried to phrase it as carefully as I could, trying to say things I considered self-evident. I may not have done a good job and it may need change, deletion, addition, it is not cast in concrete.

However, I took great care to make every word count and I ask everyone to read it carefully, making sure that words like ‘may’, ‘can’, ‘possible’, ‘non-zero’, etc. are not missed. And please don’t ‘infer’ from it as clockwork does sometimes, or assume you know what else I think beyond which I said. If you are not sure, I will be glad to clarify.

If we are all (all who is interested) give it a serious, careful, honest and critical try, we may actually reach a consensus, instead of forever going around in circles.

Here it comes the Summary For Clockwork (or SFC):

1./ Nature. By definition (mine) everything that we can observe and/or be aware of is part of Nature. In this sense there can not be such a thing as ‘unnatural’ phenomena.

2./ Science is a human tool invented to help us investigate nature. It is best defined by the ‘Scientific Method’ (described by The Random House) as: “a method of research in which a problem is identified, relevant data are gathered, a hypothesis is formulated from these data and the hypothesis is empirically tested”. Its essence is ‘empirically tested’. Without this crucial element, it is not science, it is speculation.

3./ There are phenomena that are not suitable for hypothesis that could be “empirically tested”. The “Big Bang Theory” is one of these.

4./ There is a non-zero probability that science is not omnipotent, meaning that there are parts of nature that science will never be able to explain. Scientific explanation means the creation of an empirically testable hypothesis, or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge. (clockwork already agreed)

5./ There is a non-zero probability that unusual (or para-normal) phenomena exists that appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of, our accumulated body of scientific knowledge. This phenomena (depending on its nature) have been called ‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’, etc. (Apemantus and TP already agreed)

6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true (science is not omnipotent and para-normal phenomena do exist), then we have to explore this phenomena with suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to try to understand them.

7./ Dismissing the possibility for 4./ and 5./ can unnecessarily limit humanity to be aware of, and benefit from, a smaller subset of natural phenomena and, as a consequence, unnecessarily reduce our tools for both survival and enjoyment of our existence.

8./ Attacking those who assume 4./ and 5./ to be true, is an unfair discrimination against, and abuse of, human beings, some of whom can be imaginative, creative, open minded individuals with full recognition of the value of science.

9./ There are, and have been, deplorable examples of superstition, sensationalism, charlatanism, fraud regarding para-normal phenomenon. Some of it was innocent, much of it was deliberate attempt to take advantage of the easily credulous.

10./ Great care and critical thinking is required to differentiate between the rational approach to the para-normal, from the irrational, unjustified, fraudulent

11./ Science and 'para-normal investigation' are not 'either-or'. Unless we are dogmatic about our 'only true method', they can happily coexist, without hurting each other. Both methods can be used to study both groups of phenomena and both can fail or be successful in their endeavor.

[ August 12, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 11 August 2002 09:51 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The biggest single thing working in favor of the rigorousness of the scientific method is that it demands repeatability of results for the general validity of an observation to be correct.

People who press for acceptance of the existence of psychic or paranormal phenomena often hand-wave away the problem of replicability of results.

This is the single biggest thing that gives me hives about people who casually or not-so-casually insist that science will 'never' explain things that are currently thought nonexplainable.

Which is why I say "Well, hell, if you think that way we should all just go right back to where we started, since the progress of human understanding is precisely in determining how something works, why it does what it does, and being able to test that phenomenon repeatedly, getting the same results each time."

Bolts of lightning aren't formable at one's request, but that didn't stop Ben Franklin from applying the theories of electrostatics to figure out how to divert lightning bolts from damaging houses or churches - after all, it is possible to make mini-lightning bolts by holding two pieces of metal a given distance apart and rubbing one of them with a bearskin rug, until the charge builds up and jumps the air gap.

It is to be noted that churches these days no longer send someone up to the bell-tower to ring the bell during lightning storms. The bell, being metallic and generally at the highest point around, was often the attraction point for the lightning bolt, and the bell-puller would often suffer.

... or should we accept the "science will never explain anything" attitude and throw away our lightning rods?

[ August 11, 2002: Message edited by: DrConway ]


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:11 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
And here I was, reasonably sure that my statements were impossible to misinterpret. Little did I know...

Doc, exactly which of the 11 points do you disagree with? All of them? Some of them? Is there not one thing I said you find true?

I am devastated.


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
meades
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posted 11 August 2002 10:12 PM      Profile for meades     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think the closest we'll ever come to a consensus on babble concerning science, religion & the para-normal would be that they're all words. Anything beyond that, I doubt it.
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Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:17 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
While you are 'at it', meades, any comments about the 11 points I made? Any of it makes any sense to you? Just curious, I am collecting opinions.
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 11 August 2002 10:19 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I am devastated.

I didn't think my paw was THAT big.

quote:
4./ There is a non-zero probability that science is not omnipotent, meaning that there are parts of nature that science will never be able to explain. Scientific explanation means the creation of an empirically testable hypothesis, or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge. (clockwork already agreed)

5./ There is a non-zero probability that unusual (or para-normal) phenomena exists that appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of, our accumulated body of scientific knowledge. This phenomena (depending on its nature) have been called ‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’, etc. (Apemantus and TP already agreed)


This is the part that bugs me. Claiming that science has some sort of inherent limit to what it can be applied to is tantamount to surrendering to those who would prattle the worst kinds of crap about paranormal phenomena.

In my experience, people who advocate that 'science will never explain this stuff' usually have an ax to grind with the impressive progress made so far in 2000 years of better and better application of the scientific method by all cultures that have used it (from the Greek to the Arabic to the European to the Chinese... - recall that the Greeks developed the integral, the Arabs the algebra, the Chinese, all sorts of technological inventions that were independently duplicated by Europe).

It seems to me they'd almost be happier if people all honestly believed spirits and ghosts and goblins inhabited everything and that nothing could be explained without some tortuous reference to bad engrams or something.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:23 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Doc, are you saying that, in your mind, there is absolute zero possibility that 4./ and 5./ might be true? You are talking about absolute certainty. Please tell me what this absolute certainty is based on? In an (for all practical purposes) infinite universe(s). Now that is what I call 'self confidence'!
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Secret Agent Style
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posted 11 August 2002 10:26 PM      Profile for Secret Agent Style        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true (science is not omnipotent and para-normal phenomena do exist), then we have to explore this phenomena with suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to try to understand them.

I still don't know what you mean by "non-scientific methods." Unless someone can identify what they are, this statement is meaningless.

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Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:30 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Andy, if we assume (for argument's sake) that the scientific method does not work with some phenomena, then, by pure elimination, only non-scientific method (if any exists) could possibly work. In this sense 6./ is not meaningless -- it suggests that we should look for them (that is the next step I promised clockwork).
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 11 August 2002 10:30 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It is absolutely inconceivable to me that the scientific method is inapplicable in any circumstance warranting developing an explanation of how and why something occurs.

If I drop a ball, I can make up some big long explanation boiling down to "God willed it", or I can do the sensible thing and ask "what property of where I am causes this ball to fall to the floor?"

Galileo, Newton, and Einstein as well as others all asked this and came up with a flood of answers.

1. There's a force exerted by the Earth that pulls all things to its center. (Newton-Galileo)
2. The presence of earth causes a warping of space-time such that objects within the warp will tend to move towards the center. (Einstein)

Now, you may say to me that both explanations may depend as much on faith as the "God willed it" part, but I say to you that the explanations that do not depend on the supernatural make more sense precisely because they form the logical base for a superstructure of consistent explanations of varying phenomena - for example, the Einsteinian version of gravity works better than the Newtonian one for explaining the precession of planetary orbits.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Secret Agent Style
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posted 11 August 2002 10:35 PM      Profile for Secret Agent Style        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
In this sense 6./ is not meaningless -- it suggests that we should look for them (that is the next step I promised clockwork).

Well keep looking, and let us know when you've found one. Until then...

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Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:38 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Dr. C: It is absolutely inconceivable to me that the scientific method is inapplicable in any circumstance warranting developing an explanation of how and why something occurs.
Doc, I will interpret this statement that, in your mind, there is absolute zero probability that 4./ and 5./ might be true.

Now that is what I call FAITH


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:42 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Andy: Well keep looking, and let us know when you've found one. Until then...
I don't have to keep looking, Andy, I found quite a few. But that is for the next step. See you later.

In the meantime I interpret your answer as saying that you agree with all 11 points, except for 6./ which you think is meaningless (not wrong) until I show you non-scientific methods. Did I get it right?


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Secret Agent Style
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posted 11 August 2002 10:54 PM      Profile for Secret Agent Style        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I don't have to keep looking, Andy, I found quite a few. But that is for the next step.


Why can't you just tell us now? You've been stalling for days, if not weeks.
quote:

In the meantime I interpret your answer as saying that you agree with all 11 points...


That's quite an assumption. I only commented on one point because that's the one that jumped out at me. I didn't realise I had to express agreement or disagreement with each of the points.

[ August 11, 2002: Message edited by: Andy Social ]


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DrConway
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posted 11 August 2002 10:56 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Faith would be me saying that God exists - that is, I am claiming that something is there absent concrete evidence.

There is nothing but simple logic in the workings of the scientific method. Inquire. Observe. Evaluate. Inquire Again.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:57 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Andy, you don't have to, only if you wish. You can just make a list of numbers you disagree with if you don't want to type a lot. Only, it would be nice to know why?
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 10:59 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Doc, you can have faith in anything. It does not need to be God. Faith means absolute certainty without proof. Your statement I quoted qualifies.
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 11 August 2002 11:00 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
What is "absolute certainty" about the scientific method? You appear to be reading into my statements something that is not there.

Please show me anything that the process of the scientific method is inapplicable to and I shall concede YOUR point about faith.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 11 August 2002 11:04 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Please review 4./ and 5./ -- you claim they are incorrect. Both 4./ and 5./ stated that there is non-zero probability that the assumptions are true. You disagreed, hence zero probability, hence absolute certainty without proof, hence FAITH!

[ August 12, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Terry Johnson
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posted 12 August 2002 03:47 PM      Profile for Terry Johnson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true (science is not omnipotent and para-normal phenomena do exist), then we have to explore this phenomena with suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to try to understand them.


I don't think 6 follows logically from 4 and 5.

Let's assume that there are natural phenomena that fall outside current scientific understanding. I can't imagine there wouldn't be. But that does not mean they can only be studied with non-scientific methods, whatever that means. After all, the examples of paranormal phenomena you suggest--‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’--have all been the subject of scientific study.

I just read an article in the New Yorker on the scientific study of facial expressions. Some people are very good at judging other's emotions by reading their facial expressions. This has usually been dismissed as intuition, but only because the underlying mechanisms weren't well understood. But it's a (somewhat spooky) skill that anyone can learn. That's the advantage of scientific knowledge. It transforms the magical into the natural and accessible.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 12 August 2002 04:04 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
TJ: I don't think 6 follows logically from 4 and 5.
6./ assumes that the assumptions in both 4./ and 5./ are true.

4./ specifically states that “there are parts of nature that science will never be able to explain”

5./ says that “appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of”

You are right, Terry, it was not phrased in a clear enough, airtight way. I will correct it momentarily. In the meantime, look at 11./ where I made the same point you did.

Thanks for pointing out my sloppiness. That is exactly the kind of input I was hoping for.


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 12 August 2002 04:24 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I decided to keep changing the first post according to feedback I get, as consensus is being built, but change the second post to what the original first post was, so anyone can see what has been changed since.

Now I have made these changes. At this time I only changed 6./ -- according to the feedback I got from TJ.

Please take a look and feel free to suggest other changes in wording, adding and/or deleting points. Let's see if it is possible to come up with something that most people would find true.

[ August 12, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Rebecca West
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posted 12 August 2002 04:39 PM      Profile for Rebecca West     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I just read an article in the New Yorker on the scientific study of facial expressions. Some people are very good at judging other's emotions by reading their facial expressions
I've heard about this as well. The claim is that it's "scientific", but I think it's just the latest pop psychology trend, not unlike phrenology in the 18th and 19th centuries.

From: London , Ontario - homogeneous maximus | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 12 August 2002 05:26 PM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
3./ There are phenomena that are not suitable for hypothesis that could be “empirically tested”. The “Big Bang Theory” is one of these.

We'll probably might never know for sure what happened in the first few pico-seconds of the universe existence, but from the big bang theory we can draw observations about what should be able to see. We can measure that the universe is expanding, and thus supports the inflationary aspect of the big bang theory, or something like that.

Was life started by the spontaneous creation of animo acids (or whatever) in the chemical soup that was early earth? Our best guess is that's what occurred, but you can't test for it. He can try and recreate conditions to see if the buildings blocks of life occur, but we can't rerun the entire history of the earth.

I guess I agree with this, but the wording bugs me. Same here:

quote:
4./ There is a non-zero probability that science is not omnipotent, meaning that there are parts of nature that science will never be able to explain. Scientific explanation means the creation of an empirically testable hypothesis, or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge. (clockwork already agreed)

I never agreed to this wording. I don't like the use of the word "omnipotent". Science isn't a God. Mathematics is not omnipotent, but crunching some numbers is a good way to figure out how much energy you need to escape the planets gravitational pull. And while I agree that there are parts of nature which science may never understand but that is distinct from saying science will never understand everything. Notice the different inflection.
quote:
5./ There is a non-zero probability that unusual (or para-normal) phenomena exists that appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of, our accumulated body of scientific knowledge. This phenomena (depending on its nature) have been called ‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’, etc. (Apemantus and TP already agreed)

In other words, what you are stating is that things happen now which are not explained by science. But this ignores two things: plausible descriptions can be made and knowledge can progress to a point where "unusual phenomenon" can be explained.
quote:
6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true (science is not omnipotent and para-normal phenomena do exist), and we also assume that one particular phenomenon (for example ‘sensing’ death in close family) could not be studied by the scientific method, then we have to try to find suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to understand them.

I suppose, from the assumptions, I could agree with it, but it's a meaningless statement. I do not think sensing death falls outside of scientific methods, and if you need to construct a non-rational description to account for something, the inherent worth of that description is without value. It doesn't really explain anything.
quote:
7./ Dismissing the possibility for 4./ and 5./ can unnecessarily limit humanity to be aware of, and benefit from, a smaller subset of natural phenomena and, as a consequence, unnecessarily reduce our tools for both survival and enjoyment of our existence.

Is this the back-door rationalization for believing anything you want?

quote:
11./ Science and 'para-normal investigation' are not 'either-or'. Unless we are dogmatic about our 'only true method', they can happily coexist, without hurting each other. Both methods can be used to study both groups of phenomena and both can fail or be successful in their endeavor.

What's the methodology behind "para-normal investigation"?

[ August 12, 2002: Message edited by: clockwork ]


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
vaudree
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posted 12 August 2002 05:56 PM      Profile for vaudree     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Is such consesus desirable?
From: Just outside St. Boniface | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 12 August 2002 05:57 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
All quotes are from clockwork.
quote:
3./... I guess I agree with this, but the wording bugs me
How would you change the wording, clockwork?
quote:
4./...while I agree that there are parts of nature which science may never understand but that is distinct from saying science will never understand everything.
You didn't read it carefully. 4./ in essence stated that "there is a non-zero possibility that science will never understand certain pehenomena"
But you have a point and it is easy to change the wording to make it clear
quote:
5./...But this ignores two things: plausible descriptions can be made and knowledge can progress to a point where "unusual phenomenon" can be explained.
This is true and 5./ does not imply the opposite
quote:
6./...I suppose, from the assumptions, I could agree with it, but it's a meaningless statement.
This statement means that if we are convinced that a phenomenon (at least for the time being) does not land itself to the scientific method, then we should not give up, but look for other than the scientific method to try to find answers. Much like Newton's 2nd law (F=m*a) in essence said: if there is acceleration, there must be a force causing it -- keep looking for the force.
quote:
7./...Is this the back-door rationalization for believing anything you want?
I will just ignore this as a rhetorical question.
quote:
11./ What's the methodology behind "para-normal investigation"?
I will get into this (next step) once consensus is reached in this thread.

Please make specific suggestions about how the wording of individual points should be changed (in view of what I just said) so you could agree with them.


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Michelle
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posted 12 August 2002 06:10 PM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I just read the article, Rebecca - it sounded pretty convincing to me.
From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 12 August 2002 07:08 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I just made a few changes to the wording (not the meaning) of 4./ and 6./ to make them clearer, according to clockwork's suggestion. Take a look at the first post. I am looking forward to additional suggestions, questions, comments.

[ August 12, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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posted 12 August 2002 07:41 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
In other words, what you are stating is that things happen now which are not explained by science. But this ignores two things: plausible descriptions can be made and knowledge can progress to a point where "unusual phenomenon" can be explained.

This, incidentally, is what I've been trying to say all along in this whole science deal, but have not been able to do as well as Mr. Clock.


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Zatamon
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posted 12 August 2002 07:48 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Doc, I have already replied to this in my post to clockwork, where I agreed with his statement and stated that it is not in contradiction with 5./ My problem with your stand is your rejection of 4./ which, in my mind is nothing else but faith.
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 13 August 2002 01:44 AM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Zatamon, I'll get to you a little later. I know everyone thinks I'm the brightest person here, but I actually have to sit and think about all this and can't just fire off a response. (thanks DrC: I was wondering if I repeated the point and, well, sometimes I surprise myself at some of the things I say)
Anyway, I'm on a rant here, a long one, ignore me if you want:
quote:
I've heard about this as well. The claim is that it's "scientific", but I think it's just the latest pop psychology trend, not unlike phrenology in the 18th and 19th centuries.

I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss it out of hand. Although I haven't read the article, it sounds similar to the claim that children from abusive households tend to be more, uh, "in tune" with the emotions of the parent. And, if you think about it, it might be plausible. If a child is within an abusive household, being able to pick up cues as to the mood of the abusive parent would be of use because it signals to the child to alter behaviour so as not to try and aggravate the situation. I once read something recently that underlings of a certain boss would rate the importance of a problem by the number of lines they count on the boss's forehead when he is describing the problem. One or two lines, it's not a big deal. Three or more (or whatever), and they'd give the problem a high priority. It doesn't seem that much a stretch to state there are physical cues that are common to certain states of emotion. It can be as something as superficial as a smile for when a person is happy or something more subtle as a slight change in a tone of voice for when a person is upset (from what I understand, the whole idea of a "poker face" is predicated on this). Apparently there are a whole whack of facial muscles so the range of expressions, however subtle, is quite large.

I'm surprised that people at work now always comment that I never look happy. I never smile. I was completely oblivious to this. Yes, I hate my job. Yes, I hate almost everyone in my job. But when people started to comment about me not smiling, it caught me off guard. I thought I was no different then before, outwardly. These people had "read" me. The kicker was when our shift went out after work because it was someone's last day (yes, we celebrate when someone leaves). Not ten minutes into our celebratory gathering a coworker made the comment, "Look, [clockwork] is smiling!" They cued into the fact, something I already know, that once I'm outside work, I'm happy and normal. But again, I knew this internally and got caught off guard again by the observation.

Anyway, it's one thing to state that certain people can read emotions and another to generalize that as a rule. I've watched enough programs on facial expressions to know that some expressions may be cultural. Although not a facial expression, apparently there is some native tribe in some island in the south Pacific that uses the side-to-side nod to denote agreement, whereas in most other places the up-and-down nod is used. What else is "learned"? Why is the comment, "You're so much like you're father/mother," common? [Edited: haha, mea culpa! Although the mother/father comment can be used to suggest learned expressions, it can also suggest hardwired expressions (genetics, you understand). I should have said: Is the comment about "You're so much like you're mother/father," prevelant because it stems from learned behaviour?]

To tie this into "science", I can make a hypothesis from this theory. The brain is a wonderful pattern recognition machine. So wonderful, in fact, that it sees patterns that aren't there. But this is how it learns as well. So say I think that, well, maybe facial expressions are a partially learned (the brains pattern recognition machinery collects a pattern of cues about emotions and then internalizes it), partially natural. If it's partially learned, then you might be able to design an experiment that shows one person can "read" emotions of peers within their culture and then compare that person's "reading" of emotions of people with completely different cultures (good luck, though, finding isolated cultures nowadays). If it happens that this experiment can be done (yes, double blind, peer reviewed and it gets repeated) and you get a statistically significant result you now have some evidence that facial expressions are cultural. It says nothing of the mechanics involved, or how facial expressions evolve, but it suggests that your hypothesis might be right. Then you turn around and apply for more research money to figure out the cause of this.

The flip side of that experiment is that if you find someone (well, multiple someones to be able to generalize) that can read emotions in a statistically significant way and find that you get the same result, statistically, about this person reading people from different cultures, you might conclude facial expressions are hardwired (or you can just stop this line of study because you found no one that that can read emotions in a significant, controlled way, but regardless). Say smiling is universal among cultures to signal happiness. You can theorize that there are happy chemicals in the head that certain muscles, or certain regions within the brain that control muscles, respond to. So, if you can find differences in the brain between happy states and sad states and then, somehow, recreate this difference artificially and see if the subject smiles and claims he's happy, then you have evidence that happiness and smiling is a hardwired aspect of the brain, and how it works. You'd probably have another illicit drug on your hands, but that is an ethical issue. Then you might study further and find that although the expression of happiness is natural, the triggers of happiness are not. In some people, the happy chemicals get released upon reading a joke. Others find that happy chemicals get released, say, when people assault other people. You then conclude expression of happiness is ingrained, but the causes of a happy state are not (and again, apply for more money to look into why happy triggers are not universal).

And, if this all sounds simple, or even self evident, well, you stumbled on a theory someone I know says about science itself: it's the study of proving that which is already known. Sound weird? It shouldn't. Ideas come from observation, seeing those "patterns" in nature or even just simple logic. You can't make an experiment without having a hypothesis and you don't make a hypothesis without having some suspicion that the hypothesis is right (the brain, remember, is a big pattern recognition machine).

To some, facial expression and emotional state correlation may sound like phrenology. And, it might be true. But that is the whole point of the open mind. Although I argue with Zatamon, and Zatamon is trying to claim stuff about open minds, this is what it's all about. It's not stupid to wonder if phrenology is correct, at least back then. It's not stupid to maybe see if there was something to it. It is stupid, after all the evidence has been collected, all the studies repeated, all coming to the conclusion that phrenology is a crock, to then still believe it. And I should be able to go back to the original studies and repeat them today to see that, wow, they are right, it is a crank theory. Obviously, no one is going to give me money to do that, but if I had the money, I could. That is science.

[ August 13, 2002: Message edited by: clockwork ]


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
TommyPaineatWork
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posted 13 August 2002 03:06 AM      Profile for TommyPaineatWork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
5./ There is a non-zero probability that unusual (or para-normal) phenomena exists that appear to contradict, and/or fall completely outside of, our accumulated body of scientific knowledge. This phenomena (depending on its nature) have been called ‘miracles’, ‘ESP’, ‘precognition’, telekinesis’, ‘mind-reading’, ‘ghosts’, ‘life after death’, etc. (Apemantus and TP already agreed)

6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true, and we also assume that one particular phenomenon (for example ‘sensing’ death in close family) could not currently be studied by the scientific method, then we have to try to find suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to understand them.


I'm not sure I quite see it this way; I don't agree that paranormal phenomena lie outside the purview of scientific method.

When something contradicts or falls outside the body of scientific knowledge, it means that we are lacking in knowledge, not methodology.

I do agree that there is a non-zero probability for the existance of phenomena generally called 'paranormal'. But this is tied to the difficulty of proving a negative.

But just because something can't empirically be proved not to be, doesn't bear on the likelyhood of it's existance.

The onus of proof lies with the person making the claim, in other words.

I've never claimed such things don't happen or exist, I just maintain-- correctly-- that they have yet to be proved.


The concensus we should be reaching not just at "Babble" but on the left is that we should have a certain standard for determining what is happening, and what activities work and which ones don't, what is likely to be true and what is yet to be proven.

So far, the only tool at our disposal for doing so is the scientific method combined with the tools of scepticism.

The harsh reality is that once taken up, those tools cannot be put down. If we use the scientific method to debunk trickle down economics, or halocaust deniers, two tier health care etc., then we can't just lay them aside on the things we WANT to believe.


From: London | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 13 August 2002 05:02 AM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Okay Zatamon:
quote:
How would you change the wording, clockwork?

quote:
3./ There are phenomena that are not suitable for hypothesis that could be “empirically tested”. The “Big Bang Theory” is one of these.

There are hypothesis for which empirical testing might be out of our current means to test for. We can't recreate the Big Bang so we will never know, for sure, if the Big bang created the universe. But, observationally, the Big Bang might as well be correct. Nothing we currently can observe now discounts the theory, while there is some evidence that the Big Bang theory is correct. (I say this not as an expert of physics of this sort: I say this because our understanding of the creation of the universe tends to this theory, from accounts I've read).

quote:
You didn't read it carefully. 4./ in essence stated that "there is a non-zero possibility that science will never understand certain phenomena"
But you have a point and it is easy to change the wording to make it clear

4./ There might be parts of nature that science cannot explain because we cannot empirically test for it. Scientific explanation means the creation of an empirically testable hypothesis, or logical model, that shows how the phenomenon is created, what its internal mechanism/logic is and how it consistently fits into our accumulated body of knowledge. However, hypothesis that cannot be tested empirically are, however minutely, grounded within previously observed phenomenon. [edited: er, if you agree to what was said in point 3, and then agree to this wording, one of these points is superflous.]

quote:
This is true and 5./ does not imply the opposite

Okay, then you shouldn't object to the qualifier on 5./ that:
However, plausible descriptions can be made and knowledge can progress to a point where "unusual phenomenon" can be explained within the scientific method.
quote:
This statement means that if we are convinced that a phenomenon (at least for the time being) does not land itself to the scientific method, then we should not give up, but look for other than the scientific method to try to find answers. Much like Newton's 2nd law (F=m*a) in essence said: if there is acceleration, there must be a force causing it -- keep looking for the force.

quote:
6./ If we assume, for arguments’ sake, that both 4./ and 5./ turn out to be true, and we also assume that one particular phenomenon (for example ‘sensing’ death in close family) could not currently be studied by the scientific method, then we have to try to find suitable non-scientific methods, if we want to understand them.

Still meaningless. Because in your example, Newton's law is a pretty good indicator that something else is there. If the numbers don't add up, you know you are missing something because F=MA has been so successful in an observational environment before. If we take into consideration the qualifier to number 5./ (too which you still have to agree with, I grant), it suggests that at some point any particular phenomenon could be studied by scientific observation. And if it's possible that at some point it can be empirically tested, it no longer falls within the bounds of "non-scientific methods" to understand it.
quote:
[To my comment about 7./] I will just ignore this as a rhetorical question.

Is it rhetorical because we all know the answer to it? I won't answer this because now I want to lead you. You have to agree or disagree with my amendments to point 4 & 5 first.
quote:
[In response to my comments about 11./] I will get into this (next step) once consensus is reached in this thread.

Well, obviously I would think point 11 should not be there then. If point 11 relies upon the consensus, I want nothing to do with it in the consensus itself. Proving that comes later and, as you say, is apart of the next step.

Anyway, TP here expands on what I have said and, in turn, what DrC has said. As such, I hope this critique is representative of all three of us since we seem on the same page.

[ August 13, 2002: Message edited by: clockwork ]


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 13 August 2002 09:15 AM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
OK, clockwork, TP, Doc, I made new changes to the first post to reflect the points you had made. Please review and let me know what you think.

I merged the original 3./ into 4./ as clockwork suggested.

I created a brand new 3./ to elaborate on the process of science a bit more.

I tried to address Doc’s concern about ‘repeatability’ and TP’s concern regarding proof of existence.

I incorporated nonesuch's suggestion (in the "Strange things may happen" thread, post August 11, 2002 04:38 PM) about rational approach to studying 'unusual' phenomena (interviews, assessment, looking for pattern, consistency, frequency, etc.)

I changed 9./ to include science as well, for fairness’s sake.

For the time being, I left 11./ there, because I gave it more meaning by changes I made to 6./

I think we are making progress, let’s see if we can keep it up.

[ August 13, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Slick Willy
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posted 13 August 2002 10:41 AM      Profile for Slick Willy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
6./ If we assume 5./ to be true and there is no immediately available scientific tool to study these phenomena (most of them not necessarily reproducible on demand), then we may wait and see if one becomes available at a later time, or we may decide to use methods currently considered non-scientific (e.g. meditation, directed dreams, autohypnosis, drug-induced hypersensitivity, séances, sensory deprivation, etc., etc.) to experiment and try to form a hypothesis.

But isn't the problem with non-scientific methods that they always leave an opportunity for deceit on the part of the person who suggests the hypothisis?


From: Hog Heaven | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 13 August 2002 02:35 PM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Haha... I just read this today. Completely off-topic:
quote:
The other study looked at an isolated tribe in Ecuador that appeared to have the same ability to identify cheaters as Harvard undergraduates, though the researchers did use a different series of questions with the Shiwiar tribe than with the students. Tribe members understood, for example, that a man who refused to lend his boat to another man who had given him a basket of fish was not following the rules.

Brain detects cheaters, study says

From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Terry Johnson
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posted 13 August 2002 07:43 PM      Profile for Terry Johnson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
A little off topic, but...

The New Yorker article on facial expression isn't online, but the principal subject of the piece--Paul Ekman--does have a web site, with links to much of his published work.

One of his research interests actually is deception, and how it affects facial expression. He says that even when you're trying to deceive another, you make fleeting but perceivable micro-expressions that betray your real emotions.

His method of analysing facial expression--FACS, which stands for something I can't remember--is also being used in the artificial intelligence community to teach computers to recognise when someone is angry, sad, happy or whatever.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Terry Johnson
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posted 13 August 2002 08:37 PM      Profile for Terry Johnson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
or we may decide to use methods currently considered non-scientific (e.g. meditation, directed dreams, autohypnosis, drug-induced hypersensitivity, séances, sensory deprivation, etc., etc.) to experiment and try to form a hypothesis.

What? Seances? Drug-induced hypersensitivity?

Why would activities like these give you a better understanding of an unknown natural phenomenon?

There are rational methods of investigation you can use that aren't strictly scientific. Like the methods of philosophy. They're useful in trying to understand problems that can't be investigated scientifically. The nature of consciousness, say.

Maybe, while meditating or chewing coca leaves or whatever you might gain some insight into this or that question. I've had some interesting thoughts while taking drugs. Really. But if your insight can't be tested, it can still be discussed and evaluated. In that case, the method of gaining such an insight isn't important, only the insight itself.

I wouldn't reccomend seances or drug-taking as investigative tools, however. They might be pleasurable activities. But that's about the only reason to participate in them.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 13 August 2002 08:49 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I didn't mean hard drugs. Richard Feynman, when experimenting with sensory deprivation and out of body experiences, noticed that 'hallucinations' and out of body sensations occurred a lot quicker when he used marihuana at the same time.

However, in this thread I do not want to discuss details of the non-scientific methods. What I would like to accomplish here is to see if a consensus can be reached on the 11 points we got so far.

I mentioned a few examples of 'other' possible methods that might be used to help study para-normal phenomena because clockwork would not accept 11./ without, and I think 11./ is very important.

Of course I can not tell who should discuss what, I am only saying that I will not discuss these details until a consensus is reached. If others want to, go right ahead.


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Terry Johnson
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posted 14 August 2002 03:03 PM      Profile for Terry Johnson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Richard Feynman, when experimenting with sensory deprivation and out of body experiences, noticed that 'hallucinations' and out of body sensations occurred a lot quicker when he used marihuana at the same time.

Feynman should have tried ketamine. It interferes with the part of the brain that keeps you aware of where your arms, legs and body are. You kind of forget that you have a body. Oh. That hand. It's mine? Quite fun if you're into weird experiences, but it leaves you absolutely useless for 10 or 12 hours or so.

quote:
However, in this thread I do not want to discuss details of the non-scientific methods.

That kind of makes it hard to reach any real consensus. I mean, there's a big difference between saying that some natural phenomena are difficult to study scientifically but can still be investigated through other rational methods, and saying we should peer into a crystal ball or astral travel with Don Juan for answers.

I think you need to explain what non-scientific methods of investigation you have in mind, and why they would prove useful.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 14 August 2002 03:38 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Terry, I removed the 'offending' words from 6./ in the first post, so no one needs to agree to them in order to agree with the eleven points. If this exercise goes any further, I will explain in detail what I mean by those words that seem so disagreeable by themselves, out of context.

I have a lot of details about non-scientific methods, but I feel it is pointless to go into them until and unless a consensus is reached on the 11 points I listed in the first post. If any one of those points is dismissed by the majority of those babblers who were discussing the topic, then I don't want to carry it any further, because it would be a waste of everybody's time (as far as I am concerned).

Those 11 points are so basic and fundamental in my mind that any disagreement on those make debate with specific non-scientific methods meaningless for me.

I am not saying that I think I am absolutely right, only that I am pretty sure I will not change my mind about those statements. As you have seen, I am willing to change the wording and accommodate everyone's suggestions, as long as the essence is not compromised.

So, if no consensus is possible, I am ready to drop the subject and do something else for fun instead.

[ August 14, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 14 August 2002 03:56 PM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Those 11 points are so basic and fundamental in my mind that any disagreement on those make debate with specific non-scientific methods meaningless for me.

Which is why I think I'm officially done with this thread. Previously, I made my comments for what I didn't like with the assumption, then, that the points I didn't comment on are agreeable. But then you modify the points I criticize while at the same time modifying the points I didn't criticize so now I have to go back and comment on the entire thing all over again.

That is not progress in my mind.

quote:
No! Not for a second! I immediately began to think how this could have happened. And I realized that the clock was old and was always breaking. That the clock probably stopped some time before and the nurse coming in to the room to record the time of death would have looked at the clock and jotted down the time from that. I never made any supernatural connection, not even for a second. I just wanted to figure out how it happened.

-- Richard P. Feynman, on being asked if he thought that the fact that his wife's favorite clock had stopped the moment she died was a supernatural occurrence, quoted from Al Sekel, "The Supernatural Clock"


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 14 August 2002 04:04 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Fine, clockwork, no problem. Just in case you did not notice, I made the changes that you now object to, in order to include all your requests in the new version. I thought that would please you. Obviously it did not. Hard to take 'yes' for an answer isn't it?

I had to change some of the other points you had not objected to, so I would address the concerns of Doc, nonesuch and TP. You don't expect only your concerns to be talked about, do you? That would not be consensus-building, it would be 'clockworking'

Yes, I have read what you quoted from Feynman, however, it has nothing to do with any of my statements in this thread.

Well, ladies and gentlemen, I think we can now answer the question posed in the title: Obviously, it is not possible to reach consensus on science on Babble. At least not with me participating. So, as of now, I am also gone from the debate.

[ August 14, 2002: Message edited by: Zatamon ]


From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 14 August 2002 04:40 PM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Chirst, I knew you'd pull that. It's not about taking yes for an answer. I'm not happy or sad about anything, but I am a bit ticked now.

If you didn't understand before, then I'll give you a specific example here. I didn't not comment about point 1 before because I agreed with it. Yet, in making the changes I asked, you went ahead and rewrote everything, not the stuff I specifically asked to be changed. There is a very particular strain of thought here that I am trying to get rid of in your consensus and everytime I think I nail it down in one point you transfer it to another.

And, I might add, I wholly dismiss point 11 because you do not want to discuss it and yet you say it's one of the most important points there. That ain't consensus.

I think I've been more than generous putting up with your tricks and sticking around this long. It was fun, but now it's just tedious.


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 14 August 2002 04:50 PM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
clockwork, I will be forever grateful for your generosity.
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Slick Willy
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posted 14 August 2002 04:50 PM      Profile for Slick Willy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Well, ladies and gentlemen, I think we can now answer the question posed in the title: Obviously, it is not possible to reach consensus on science on Babble. At least not with me participating. So, as of now, I am also gone from the debate.

Using other than scientific method I can deduce that concensus was not the desired outcome in the first place.

Let's turn to the chicken bone tossers shall we, for some insight into what really happened here.


From: Hog Heaven | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
Terry Johnson
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posted 15 August 2002 12:34 AM      Profile for Terry Johnson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Oh well. Consensus is over-rated anyway. It's our differences that make us interesting.
From: Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
clockwork
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posted 15 August 2002 09:53 AM      Profile for clockwork     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
clockwork, I will be forever grateful for your generosity.

Haha... okay, maybe generousity is the wrong word.


From: Pokaroo! | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Apemantus
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posted 15 August 2002 10:14 AM      Profile for Apemantus        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
There was a reason I never participated in this thread, and it was obvious from the title and the thread originator.

Whatever happened, it was GUARANTEED that Zatamon, gawd bless his cotton sox, would go off in a childish huff.

(And I reached this conclusion by using the scientific deduction method:

is it a topic close to his heart?
does he feel strongly about it?
is it likely he will want everyone to agree with him?

(BTW, on the basis that no subject ever has had complete consensus on Babble (that I am aware of), what WAS the point of the question? )


From: Brighton, UK | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
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posted 15 August 2002 10:22 AM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It was an experiment, Apemantus. A highly successful one. Thanks for putting the last pieace of the puzzle into place. I will be forever grateful to you too!
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Apemantus
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posted 15 August 2002 10:54 AM      Profile for Apemantus        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
So, as of now, I am also gone from the debate

Now, an interesting experiment would be to see if anyone who claims to be leaving the debate ever actually does. Some may read and not reply (by which withdrawal of their contribution could perhaps be referred to as 'gone from the debate'), but what of the many (of which you are just one example in this thread, Zatamon) who claim to be 'gone' and lo and behold, a few posts later, there they are, still IN the debate!!!

Still, it's good for a chortle!


From: Brighton, UK | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1394

posted 15 August 2002 10:58 AM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
You misunderstood, Apemantus. I am not 'debating' any more. I am just having fun.
From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Apemantus
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1845

posted 15 August 2002 11:01 AM      Profile for Apemantus        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
That's what all mass debaters say!!


From: Brighton, UK | Registered: Nov 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1394

posted 15 August 2002 11:02 AM      Profile for Zatamon     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 

From: where hope for 'hope' is contemplated | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Slick Willy
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 184

posted 15 August 2002 11:37 AM      Profile for Slick Willy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
You misunderstood, Apemantus. I am not 'debating' any more. I am just having fun.

Isn't this known as the P. Popov defence?

So what was the point of this "experiment"? To find out if concensus could be reached or to find out if there is an alternative acceptable method of researching than the scientific method?

What I find interesting (using the scientific method of observing) is that the more Zatamon tried to coral people into a model that would orchestrate a predetermined outcome, the more resistent to being penned in things became.

Is it a reoccuring trait in those who debate anything forever to refuse to agree with a point no matter how it is dressed up and trotted around as truth? (as opposed to those who say "yeah whatever just shut the hell up.") Which in and of itself is the reason voters get fucked every four years or so.


From: Hog Heaven | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 490

posted 25 July 2003 12:35 AM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Ooh! Intelligent thread! *BUMP* *prays thread doesn't crash like Spaceship Babble*
From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Michelle
Moderator
Babbler # 560

posted 25 July 2003 07:57 AM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
No.

(Just answering the thread title.)


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Sisyphus
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1425

posted 25 July 2003 05:00 PM      Profile for Sisyphus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This thread is kinda up my alley DrC, but jumping in to Zatamon's threads always involved heavy brainwork and this one is just about the Mother of Hard Work Threads. Anyway, I'm glad the statue of Isaac Newton that shoots poison darts didn't get you before you rescued this artifact
From: Never Never Land | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Trinitty
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 826

posted 26 July 2003 01:59 PM      Profile for Trinitty     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Zat, sorry I didn't see this sooner.

I agree with all of your points. I am an avid amateur consumer/student of all sciences... well, except "Creationism", which some claim to be a science.

Actually, I'm listening to Quirks and Quarks right now. My magazines consist of National Geographic, Discover, Mother Earth News, Scientific American.... and Adbusters. almost all of my TV viewing is science-based, and I loved taking it in school. To me, there's nothing more fascinating.

One of the things that I love about science is that it allows us (most of the time) to rise above ourselves and really seek the truth. No matter where you're from, or what your gender is, or what you think of the U.S. president, the fact is ____________.

Fill in whatever you want. For example:

Birds are an animal that are found everywhere from 30 thousand feet in the air, to 565 metres below the surface of the ocean.

To me, that's amazing. I love hearing these things. It's truth. It cares not for the politics of humans. Refreshing and humbling.

However:

There are several things that have happened directly to me that I cannot explain and which current science has YET to explain. That doesn't mean that humans won't devise a way to explain it at some point, in fact, I'm entirely confident that open minded, rational, dedicated scientists will explain it in the near future.

Great post, Zat.

Edited to add:

Just realized this was a bumped thread... thought is sounded familiar. I wonder if Zat ever pops in here anymore.

I'm glad Babble was re-arranged, gives some of the other forums some breath.

[ 26 July 2003: Message edited by: Trinitty ]


From: Europa | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged
nonsuch
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1402

posted 27 July 2003 01:28 AM      Profile for nonsuch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It might have worked better in a slightly different format. Maybe fewer points - say 5 - to start with and then, instead of changing them in response to input, leave the original alone, make a new list and keep updating that, so one could compare.

As to the question, i doubt if full concensus is possible. There are some fairly entrenched, incompatible views. Maybe a different question is in order. I wonder...

Trinitty, it was your strange occurrances - if i remember correctly - that started the thread that inspired this one. I found the subject very interesting at the time and i still believe it's worth investigating, particularly as you are by no means alone and should not - nor should all the others who have experienced strange things - feel isolated or dismissed.
The problem with discussing these occurrances seems to be as much semantic as conceptual: we don't seem to have a language that can bridge the emotional rift between people who measure and people who envision. While both scientists and artists can be logical and imaginative, they can't seem to talk to one another.

[ 27 July 2003: Message edited by: nonesuch ]


From: coming and going | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Jimmy Brogan
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3290

posted 29 July 2003 10:24 PM      Profile for Jimmy Brogan   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
As Slarty Bartfast says:

I'm a big fan of Science.

[ 29 July 2003: Message edited by: JimmyBrogan ]


From: The right choice - Iggy Thumbscrews for Liberal leader | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
butterhead
recent-rabble-rouser
Babbler # 2985

posted 06 August 2003 06:43 PM      Profile for butterhead        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I waded through this thread so I will respond.

There is no such thing as para-normal phenomenon,
so it's not necessary to fit it into any
scientific process.

If you read stuff such as The Tao of Physics, the
Dancing Wu-li Masters, at the sub-atomic level
where the bubble chamber observes particles
arising from nothingness, and disappearing again,
science and "mysticism" intersect, and the
language we use to describe things is lacking.

[ 06 August 2003: Message edited by: butterhead ]


From: Windsor | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Trinitty
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 826

posted 08 August 2003 03:16 PM      Profile for Trinitty     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think you're right, nonesuch, it was my experiences with un explainable phenomenon, and Zat's experiences, which sparked the thread.

Butterhead, I watched a Nature of Things on sub-atomic particles, the smallest that could be currently measured (the name escapes me) which do indeed come in and out of space as we humans can currently see it. What fascinated me the most was that everything, this keyboard, the car outside, the planet Neptune, everything has these some free-moving radical particles at their very core. That was one of the most interesting science show's I've ever seen. Gamma Ray Bursts are a close second.

BTW: Nothing has happened along those lines since the calander changed backwards three months. It's been over a year. Things have been "quiet" aside from the usual deja vu.


From: Europa | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged
nonsuch
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 1402

posted 08 August 2003 10:36 PM      Profile for nonsuch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Physics is (are?) spooky enough. I mean, electrons (and even littler things!) can read a scientist's mind... Who knows what-all else it causes in a perfectly natural, scientific manner, that we don't even suspect yet?
From: coming and going | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Zatamon
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3912

posted 09 August 2003 08:30 PM      Profile for Zatamon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Trinitty:
Just realized this was a bumped thread... thought is sounded familiar. I wonder if Zat ever pops in here anymore.
Trinitty, you may not be aware: Zatamon decided back in the spring to metamorphose into his own name and personality and start posting under his real name. This he announced several times to make sure no one would accuse him of being "Too Old To Lie", yet one more time. And yes, he pops in here once in a while, not anywhere as often as he used to. Reason: heavy involvement with the peace movement. See:
www.montland.ca/nowar

[ 09 August 2003: Message edited by: Francis Mont ]


From: "The right crowd" | Registered: Mar 2003  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 490

posted 09 August 2003 10:35 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I dug up a related thread over here.
From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged

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