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Author Topic: Confident of 10 seats in Ontario, Layton says - canada.com
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 21 June 2004 05:32 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
No more new threads from me today. Scouts honour!


http://tinyurl.com/yurkp
The party is confident Mr. Layton, a former Toronto city councillor, will win his seat against four-term Liberal MP Dennis Mills in Toronto-Danforth, where the two are scheduled to take part in an all-candidates debate tonight. Mr. Layton's wife, Olivia Chow, who is also an NDP candidate, is expected to unseat the Liberals in Trinity-Spadina.

Mr. Layton's staff say the NDP is leading in ridings in Windsor, Hamilton, Oshawa, Thunder Bay, Sault Ste. Marie, Timmins and Mr. Broadbent's riding in Ottawa Centre.

On Friday, Mr. Layton's schedule has him doing a nine-city blitz across the province, ending at a 1 a.m. rally in Hamilton. The day will begin in Timmins and make stops in Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Windsor, London, Kitchener, Cambridge and Guelph. Next weekend, Mr. Layton is also scheduled to focus on downtown Toronto, where he is planning to visit six urban ridings by streetcar.

Yesterday, Mr. Layton attended a Father's Day event at the Toronto Zoo and took part in a parade in Oshawa in the afternoon. Tomorrow he'll be back in Oshawa, where union leader Sid Ryan is trying to reclaim the Liberal seat for the NDP that had previously been held throughout the 1980s by Mr. Broadbent.

In addition to the Ontario stops, Mr. Layton will visit all four Atlantic provinces, Montreal, Vancouver, Victoria and Saskatoon in the final week.


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
NDP Newbie
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posted 21 June 2004 05:43 PM      Profile for NDP Newbie     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
10? My God he's pessimistic.
From: Cornwall, ON | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 21 June 2004 05:45 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
It must exclude one of the Hamilton seats and one of the Windsor seats, plus two of the ones in Toronto we're likely to take. I wonder why we're leading in one Thunder Bay seat and not the other, or for that matter, Kenora?
From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Aric H
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posted 21 June 2004 05:45 PM      Profile for Aric H     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
It's a pretty accurate estimate and prediction of the number and location of seats for the NDP that we have been talking about here all month.
From: Canada | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged
Doug
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posted 21 June 2004 05:49 PM      Profile for Doug   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post

[ 21 June 2004: Message edited by: Doug ]


From: Toronto, Canada | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
Doug
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posted 21 June 2004 05:50 PM      Profile for Doug   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Better to predict 10 and have people be pleasantly surprised than predict 30 and let them be disappointed.
From: Toronto, Canada | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
Screaming Lord Byron
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posted 21 June 2004 05:50 PM      Profile for Screaming Lord Byron     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Originally posted by Doug:
Better to predict 10 and have people be pleasantly surprised than predict 30 and be disappointed.


Right, then we can say we exceeded expectations, and Jack looks like less of a smug bigmouth (he isn't, but that's what the media thinks)


From: Calgary | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
NDP Newbie
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posted 21 June 2004 06:46 PM      Profile for NDP Newbie     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Here's what I'm predicting as shoe-ins:

Ottawa-Centre
Windsor-Tecumesh
Windsor West
Hamilton Centre
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
Toronto Danforth
Trinity Spadina
Beeches-East York
Parkdale-High Park
Timmins-James Bay
Sault St. Marie

Good Chance:

Toronto Centre
Davenport
Ottawa South
London-Fanshawe
Anything north of Lake Nippising


From: Cornwall, ON | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Albireo
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posted 21 June 2004 06:50 PM      Profile for Albireo     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Good Chance:

Oshawa.


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Guêpe
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posted 21 June 2004 07:36 PM      Profile for Guêpe   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
quote:
Ottawa South

I havn't seen the poles so I could be off, but from what I'm hearing Ottawa South could end up being a three way race, with the Conservative slipping up the middle and taking it.

That would be most unfortunate, I really want Monia to win!


From: Ottawa | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Thrasymachus
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posted 21 June 2004 07:56 PM      Profile for Thrasymachus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
It's doubtful that the Tory will take the riding. His signs say something about integrity, his license says suspended. He got caught driving with a suspended drivers licenseto one of his campaign events. What's with Tories and scandal?
From: South of Hull | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged
vaudree
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posted 21 June 2004 08:19 PM      Profile for vaudree     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Jack Layton profiled on the National tonight. Atleast 10 of 106 seats, Liberals get a few, Conservatives get a few. BTW - do you know any where else besides Ontario and Alberta where Stephen Harper might get seats - and it seems like he is neglecting Alberta to cover Ontario. Jack would do smart to announce something to help the farmers in Alberta the day before the vote.
From: Just outside St. Boniface | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Rufus Polson
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posted 21 June 2004 08:30 PM      Profile for Rufus Polson     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
No, I don't think so. Saskatchewan farmers, yeah maybe. Manitoba or Ontario farmers (they do exist) perhaps. Alberta farmers? He could promise them a $100,000 guaranteed income each and the NDP wouldn't get a seat in rural Alberta.

Sure, once he's an influential player in a minority-governed parliament he should do what he can for them 'cause they're Canadians and they have real problems being made worse by predatory agribusiness like the big meat packers. But there's no point talking to them much during the election campaign.


From: Caithnard College | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Thrasymachus
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posted 21 June 2004 09:11 PM      Profile for Thrasymachus     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
If we hold out above 20% in Ontario we should get way more than 10 seats. We got 7 with 15% in the last provincial election.

Here's my prediction for "sure thing" Ontario NDP seats:

Ottawa Centre
Toronto Danforth
Trinity Spadina
Beaches East York
Parkdale High Park
Oshawa
Windsor West
Windsor Tecumseh
Sault Ste. Marie
Thunder Bay - Rainy River
Timmins - James Bay
Kenora
Thunder Bay- Superior North
Hamilton Centre
Hamilton East - Stoney Creek

Other ridings in play:

Ottawa South
Essex
Sudbury
Algoma - Manitoulin
Nickel Belt
Hamilton Mountain
Ancaster Dundas....
Davenport
Scarborough South West
Ottawa Vanier
Toronto Centre


From: South of Hull | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged

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