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Author Topic: Winner-take-all in Iraq would mean civil war
Wilf Day
Babbler # 3276

posted 13 October 2004 10:17 PM      Profile for Wilf Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
At first, the Americans couldn't understand why the UN was recommending proportional representation for Iraq. "Doesn't democracy mean voting the way we elect our Congress?" they asked.

But now, even in the USA, they are beginning to see the problem with winner-take-all:

al-Sadr, a renegade cleric with wide appeal among poor Shias but the bete noir of the Shia religious establishment, may have political designs antithetical to the Iraqi government's best interests. Al-Sadr has made it clear that his aim is for an Iranian-style theocracy. The influential Shia cleric, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, instead favors a secular government run under principles of Islamic law. Where the two agree - and this is most worrisome - is that national elections should be run using a winner-take-all model, giving the Shia majority way too much power and leaving Sunnis and Kurds out in the cold.

The UN urges parliamentary elections that would give proportional representation for Iraq's three main ethnic and religious groups. That's the only sane way to go. It may be good to have al-Sadr back in the fold, but he should be watched carefully or he could plant the seeds of a civil war.

From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
Babbler # 1292

posted 13 October 2004 10:39 PM      Profile for WingNut   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
The carrot-and-stick approach seems finally to have worked in Iraq to persuade the Mahdi army led by rebel Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr to give up its heavy weapons. But this hopeful development may have dire political repercussions.

I'm not really buying it. Sadr has proved a match fo the best of US manipulation, duplicity and dishonesty. Both can say God and democracy with a straight face.

al-Sadr's motives, I suspect, are quite different. al-Sadr will participate in the elections and he will lose. And the US puppet AllPetain, will win hands down. It is as al-Sadr plans.

He will then declare the elections a fraud. He will then declare that the will of the Islamic people of Iraq has been thwarted by those who would steal Iraq's wealth and use it in a global crusade against Islam. And that will be his mandate to continue a more vicious, Islamic based resistance agaisnt occupation and the puppet regime.

From: Out There | Registered: Aug 2001  |  IP: Logged
Babbler # 4790

posted 13 October 2004 10:46 PM      Profile for Cueball   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post
Both can say God and democracy with a straight face.

Your analysis has a lot of insight, and is likely dead on.

[ 13 October 2004: Message edited by: Cueball ]

From: Out from under the bridge and out for a stroll | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged

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